2015 JAVIER Top 250 prospects under 25 that just missed

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. These numbers are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore.

Below are two lists of interesting names that didn’t quite make the top 250.

View the team 25 and under lists here.

Players not eligible

These players do not have enough playing time to make the top 250, but if they did, their score is high enough to be in it.

Name High Level 2014 Age Franchise Pos IP PA zBB zK zISO Speed Height Throws GS% Comps JAVIER JAVIER Category
Yasiel Puig MLB 23 Dodgers RF 262 0.29 -0.16 1.77 80 75 107 8.10 Elite
Anthony Rendon MLB 24 Nationals 3B 326 1.65 -0.05 1.26 60 73 284 4.38 Elite
Stephen Strasburg MLB 25 Nationals RHP 20.3 -0.6 1.64 76 R 100% 245 3.14 Good
Bobby Bradley Rk 18 Indians 1B 176 0.15 -0.52 3.72 61 73 103 1.93 Elite
Carlos Vidal FRk 18 Yankees CF 278 1.02 -1.12 0.9 65 71 121 1.72 Elite
Auston Bousfield A- 20 Padres CF 194 0.92 -0.4 1.46 77 71 117 1.69 Elite
Jermaine Palacios FRk 17 Twins 3B 225 1.3 -0.54 0.88 71 72 140 1.50 Elite
Forrest Wall Rk 18 Rockies 2B 188 1.57 -0.74 0.71 85 72 124 1.50 Elite
Luis Alexander Basabe Rk 17 Red Sox CF 307 1.19 -0.32 1.13 75 72 149 1.48 Elite
Leonardo Heras AA 24 Astros LF 423 1.54 -0.53 0.02 76 69 235 1.46 Good
Victor Fernandez FRk 19 Pirates CF 187 0.22 -0.43 1.15 68 71 150 1.46 Elite
Mason Davis A 21 Marlins 2B 279 0.46 -0.74 0.54 64 69 137 1.45 Elite
Kevin Krause A- 21 Pirates C 160 0.48 -0.33 2.1 70 74 156 1.42 Elite

Elite but not in the top 250

These players have elite numbers in the lower minors but have not advanced far enough yet.

Name High Level 2014 Age Franchise Pos IP PA zBB zK zISO Speed Height Throws GS% Comps JAVIER JAVIER Category
Julio Urias A+ 17 Dodgers LHP 142 -0.7 3.58 71 L 88% 109 1.36 Elite
Telmito Agustin FRk 17 Nationals LF 275 1.11 -0.45 2.13 83 70 248 1.35 Elite
Vicente Sanchez FRk 17 Astros CF 151 0.99 -0.67 1.8 64 71 173 1.35 Elite
Bradley Zimmer A 21 Indians CF 210 0.42 -0.6 0.78 67 76 168 1.33 Elite
Dwight Smith A+ 21 Blue Jays LF 1256 0.7 -0.73 0.52 63 71 122 1.33 Elite
Anthony Pereira FRk 17 Tigers SS 268 0.62 -0.28 1.18 76 72 181 1.30 Elite
Jesmuel Valentin A+ 20 Phillies 2B 1123 0.76 -0.88 0.19 66 69 148 1.29 Elite
Wendell Rijo A 18 Red Sox 2B 690 1.49 -0.35 0.9 62 71 184 1.25 Elite
Carlos Asuaje A+ 22 Red Sox 3B 763 0.71 -0.58 1.12 56 69 230 1.24 Elite
Lucas Giolito A 19 Nationals RHP 136.7 -0.61 1.71 78 R 100% 185 1.24 Elite
Carlos Correa A+ 19 Astros SS 1016 1.12 -0.32 0.96 59 76 238 1.23 Elite
Hunter Harvey A 19 Orioles RHP 113 -0.37 2.29 75 R 100% 172 1.22 Elite
Tyler Glasnow A+ 20 Pirates RHP 273.9 0.39 3.21 79 R 98% 105 1.20 Elite
Spencer Adams Rk 18 White Sox RHP 41.7 -2.08 2.95 75 R 90% 158 1.20 Elite
Kevin Padlo Rk 17 Rockies 3B 198 2.12 -0.63 2.51 55 74 147 1.17 Elite
Tito Polo Rk 19 Pirates RF 352 0.17 -0.07 1.03 70 71 177 1.15 Elite
Roberto Caro FRk 20 Cubs CF 542 0.69 -0.48 0.79 83 72 111 1.15 Elite
Willy Adames A 18 Rays SS 514 1.09 0.02 1.17 58 73 318 1.15 Elite
Eliezer Alvarez Rk 19 Cardinals 2B 358 0.37 -0.27 0.68 71 71 155 1.14 Elite
Kelvin Beltre FRk 17 Giants SS 93 2.37 -1.02 1.49 59 71 109 1.13 Elite
Gleyber Torres A- 17 Cubs SS 215 1.48 -0.96 0.45 67 73 159 1.12 Elite
Tyler Palmer Rk 21 Yankees SS 179 0.32 0.09 0.7 84 72 122 1.05 Elite
Jason Martin A- 18 Astros CF 496 1.27 -0.67 0.41 71 70 156 1.05 Elite
Zachary Shepherd Rk 18 Tigers 3B 201 0.69 -0.07 1.83 66 75 199 1.05 Elite
Franklin Barreto A- 18 Blue Jays SS 580 0.01 -0.09 1.64 75 69 160 1.03 Elite
Erick Mejia Rk 19 Mariners SS 228 0.44 -0.58 0.51 77 71 148 0.99 Elite
Cristhofer Martinez Rk 21 Padres 3B 515 0.51 -0.08 0.79 70 73 197 0.99 Elite
Raul Siri FRk 19 Pirates 2B 294 0.59 -0.85 1.76 58 69 130 0.99 Elite
Joan Mauricio Rk 17 Astros SS 270 1.29 0.21 1.09 65 71 345 0.96 Elite
Jose Figueroa Rk 21 Yankees CF 693 -0.2 0.7 66 70 162 0.94 Elite
Thomas Alvarez Rk 19 Nationals 2B 197 1.53 -0.01 0.86 69 73 274 0.93 Elite
Jack Flaherty Rk 18 Cardinals RHP 22.7 -1 2.22 76 R 75% 187 0.90 Elite
Ozhaino Albies Rk 17 Braves SS 239 1.11 -1.46 0.07 69 69 173 0.88 Elite
Jose Siri Rk 18 Reds CF 172 -0.37 -0.53 0.55 79 74 125 0.87 Elite
Luis Madero FRk 17 Diamondbacks RHP 66.7 -1 1.87 75 R 100% 287 0.87 Elite
Yu-Cheng Chang Rk 18 Indians SS 181 0.36 -1.2 2.38 63 73 109 0.85 Elite
Luiz Gohara A- 17 Mariners LHP 71.7 -0.12 2.27 75 L 100% 104 0.81 Elite
Ranger Suarez FRk 18 Phillies LHP 85.7 -2.47 1.5 72 L 82% 101 0.80 Elite
Cody Bellinger Rk 18 Dodgers 1B 428 0.79 -0.01 0.7 67 76 294 0.78 Elite
Thairo Estrada A- 18 Yankees SS 289 -0.05 -0.54 0.71 67 70 168 0.78 Elite
Rafael Devers Rk 17 Red Sox 3B 302 0.68 -0.72 1.66 51 72 233 0.77 Elite

2015 JAVIER Top 250 prospects under 25

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. These numbers are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore.

After going through the team rankings, it is time to see which young players had the best minor league statistics through 2014. In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View the team 25 and under lists here.

JAVIER Under 25 Top-250

Rank Name High Level 2014 Age Franchise Pos IP PA zBB zK zISO Speed Height Throws GS% Comps JAVIER JAVIER Category
1 Kris Bryant AAA 22 Cubs 3B 740 1.62 0.66 3.21 61 77 101 9.43 Elite
2 Giancarlo Stanton MLB 24 Marlins RF 1394 1.64 2.23 3.6 50 78 131 9.40 Elite
3 Mookie Betts MLB 21 Red Sox 2B 1311 1.77 -1.41 0.78 72 69 101 8.30 Elite
4 Joey Gallo AA 20 Rangers 3B 1264 1.9 2.02 3.98 60 77 112 8.26 Elite
5 Jurickson Profar MLB 21 Rangers SS 1532 1.58 -0.32 1.37 68 72 154 7.82 Elite
6 Marcus Semien MLB 23 White Sox SS 1741 1.66 -0.27 1.37 67 73 165 6.60 Elite
7 Corey Dickerson MLB 25 Rockies CF 1662 -0.03 -0.24 1.97 66 73 144 5.81 Elite
8 Derek Norris MLB 25 Athletics C 2075 3.06 0.94 1.54 52 72 102 5.64 Elite
9 Gregory Polanco MLB 22 Pirates RF 1739 0.45 -0.64 0.87 74 76 142 5.44 Elite
10 Dylan Bundy MLB 21 Orioles RHP 103.7 -0.84 2.3 73 R 100% 130 5.34 Elite
11 Jason Heyward MLB 24 Braves RF 1010 1.2 -0.26 1.58 63 77 164 5.24 Elite
12 Jose Fernandez MLB 21 Marlins RHP 138.3 -0.8 2.43 74 R 100% 145 5.24 Elite
13 Joc Pederson MLB 22 Dodgers CF 1953 1.98 0.31 1.81 68 73 331 5.00 Elite
14 Noah Syndergaard AAA 21 Mets RHP 413.4 -0.9 2.4 78 R 89% 118 4.96 Elite
15 Mike Trout MLB 22 Angels CF 1312 1.41 0.22 1.31 81 74 191 4.92 Elite
16 Christian Yelich MLB 22 Marlins CF 1308 1.05 0.53 1.45 65 75 371 4.72 Elite
17 Shelby Miller MLB 23 Cardinals RHP 383.7 -0.63 3.18 75 R 100% 191 4.61 Elite
18 Adam Eaton MLB 25 White Sox CF 1576 0.86 -0.66 0.32 71 68 146 4.61 Elite
19 George Springer MLB 24 Astros RF 1272 1.19 1.36 1.75 77 75 375 4.54 Elite
20 Jose Altuve MLB 24 Astros 2B 1642 0.22 -1.15 0.66 71 66 194 4.43 Elite
21 Javier Baez MLB 21 Cubs SS 1350 -0.1 1.14 2.89 71 72 102 4.43 Elite
22 Jorge Soler MLB 22 Cubs RF 622 0.66 -0.43 1.54 59 76 254 4.36 Elite
23 Miguel Sano AA 21 Twins 3B 1526 1.43 1.66 3.2 57 76 104 4.35 Elite
24 Tony Cingrani MLB 24 Reds LHP 228.6 -0.69 2.33 76 L 98% 127 4.30 Elite
25 Jaff Decker MLB 24 Pirates CF 2691 2.41 0.73 1.08 56 69 291 4.27 Elite
26 Manny Machado MLB 21 Orioles 3B 928 1.35 0.19 1.23 61 74 356 4.13 Elite
27 Bryce Harper MLB 21 Nationals CF 550 1.98 0.77 1.53 62 75 404 4.11 Elite
28 Tyler Skaggs MLB 22 Angels LHP 501.8 -0.91 2.35 76 L 90% 133 4.06 Elite
29 Michael Pineda MLB 25 Yankees RHP 403.9 -1.18 1.44 79 R 83% 221 4.03 Elite
30 Nick Franklin MLB 23 Rays SS 2202 0.89 0.42 0.96 65 73 315 4.00 Elite
31 Dilson Herrera MLB 20 Mets 2B 1606 0.35 0.03 1.06 67 70 291 3.94 Elite
32 Jordan Lyles MLB 23 Rockies RHP 461.8 -1.2 1.87 76 R 97% 239 3.86 Elite
33 Alen Hanson AA 21 Pirates SS 1890 0.2 -0.16 1.23 80 71 121 3.86 Elite
34 Eric Hosmer MLB 24 Royals 1B 1153 1.25 -0.2 1.22 56 76 252 3.85 Elite
35 Addison Russell AAA 20 Cubs SS 1041 0.84 0.44 1.77 68 72 318 3.84 Elite
36 Taijuan Walker MLB 21 Mariners RHP 454 -0.61 2.29 76 R 95% 161 3.82 Elite
37 Jackie Bradley MLB 24 Red Sox CF 1058 1.51 0.06 0.81 61 70 350 3.70 Good
38 Julio Teheran MLB 23 Braves RHP 514.7 -0.94 1.36 74 R 99% 283 3.69 Good
39 Daniel Norris MLB 21 Blue Jays LHP 258.1 -0.02 2.19 74 L 95% 128 3.64 Good
40 Kevin Gausman MLB 23 Orioles RHP 142.3 -0.98 1.29 75 R 97% 320 3.54 Good
41 Carlos Martinez MLB 22 Cardinals RHP 279 -0.45 1.5 72 R 98% 108 3.54 Good
42 Drew Hutchison MLB 23 Blue Jays RHP 201.4 -0.82 1.67 75 R 95% 324 3.54 Good
43 Burch Smith MLB 24 Padres RHP 228.3 -1.07 1.37 76 R 96% 248 3.51 Good
44 Jace Peterson MLB 24 Padres SS 1732 1.03 -1.07 -0.15 78 72 223 3.49 Good
45 Tyler Thornburg MLB 25 Brewers RHP 324.1 -0.2 1.6 71 R 100% 112 3.48 Good
46 Aaron Hicks MLB 24 Twins CF 2454 2.01 0.36 0.66 69 74 281 3.44 Good
47 Danny Duffy MLB 25 Royals LHP 350.1 -0.7 2.14 75 L 97% 147 3.43 Good
48 Brett Lawrie MLB 24 Blue Jays 3B 1429 0.31 0.5 1.69 74 72 385 3.41 Good
49 Brad Miller MLB 24 Mariners SS 999 0.84 -0.29 0.66 63 74 184 3.39 Good
50 Yordano Ventura MLB 23 Royals RHP 381 -0.38 1.78 72 R 89% 124 3.36 Good
51 Tyler Collins MLB 24 Tigers LF 1781 0.44 -0.28 0.94 58 71 198 3.34 Good
52 Patrick Corbin MLB 24 Diamondbacks LHP 430.5 -1.08 1.14 74 L 99% 205 3.31 Good
53 Jarrod Parker MLB 25 Athletics RHP 366.4 -0.46 1.23 73 R 100% 183 3.29 Good
54 Martin Perez MLB 23 Rangers LHP 583.7 -0.5 1.2 72 L 91% 154 3.28 Good
55 Robbie Erlin MLB 23 Padres LHP 449 -1.29 1.8 72 L 85% 177 3.27 Good
56 Andrew Burns AA 23 Blue Jays 3B 1562 0.17 -0.18 1.04 71 74 149 3.26 Elite
57 Andrew Heaney MLB 23 Marlins LHP 259.8 -0.87 1.24 74 L 96% 220 3.26 Good
58 Jameson Taillon AAA 22 Pirates RHP 382 -0.72 1.12 77 R 99% 178 3.25 Elite
59 Brett Jackson MLB 25 Diamondbacks RF 2446 1.09 2.03 1.07 77 74 333 3.21 Good
60 Jake Odorizzi MLB 24 Rays RHP 605 -0.71 1.42 74 R 89% 329 3.19 Good
61 Matt Wisler AAA 21 Padres RHP 396.7 -1.06 1.41 75 R 97% 315 3.17 Elite
62 Jonathan Singleton MLB 22 Astros 1B 2260 2.47 1.14 1.43 50 74 333 3.17 Good
63 Randall Delgado MLB 24 Diamondbacks RHP 646.3 -0.35 1.71 75 R 99% 287 3.15 Good
64 Wil Myers MLB 23 Rays RF 1964 1.6 1.16 1.81 56 75 453 3.15 Good
65 Jacob Turner MLB 23 Marlins RHP 414.3 -1 0.56 77 R 99% 150 3.14 Good
66 Casey Kelly MLB 24 Padres RHP 370 -0.93 0.68 75 R 100% 310 3.14 Good
67 Dalton Pompey MLB 21 Blue Jays LF 1414 1.12 0.01 0.57 79 74 201 3.12 Good
68 Matt Moore MLB 25 Rays LHP 501.3 0.04 3.15 75 L 95% 112 3.11 Good
69 Kolten Wong MLB 23 Cardinals 2B 1344 0.25 -0.71 0.5 71 69 276 3.09 Good
70 A.J. Cole AAA 22 Nationals RHP 500.3 -1.06 1.3 77 R 97% 178 3.08 Elite
71 Steven Souza MLB 25 Nationals RF 2956 0.93 0.68 0.9 64 76 372 3.02 Good
72 Matt Barnes MLB 24 Red Sox RHP 360.7 -0.34 1.21 76 R 99% 234 3.01 Good
73 Dan Straily MLB 25 Cubs RHP 669.4 -0.53 1.35 74 R 94% 308 2.99 Good
74 Francisco Lindor AAA 20 Indians SS 1619 1.06 -0.87 0.13 67 71 193 2.97 Good
75 Ryan Rua MLB 24 Rangers 3B 1588 0.3 -0.19 1.02 57 74 211 2.97 Good
76 Buck Farmer MLB 23 Tigers RHP 155 -0.69 0.72 76 R 97% 258 2.96 Good
77 Trevor Rosenthal MLB 24 Cardinals RHP 229.3 -0.32 1.16 74 R 100% 237 2.95 Good
78 Arismendy Alcantara MLB 22 Cubs 2B 1921 -0.16 0.47 0.92 77 70 235 2.95 Good
79 Byron Buxton AA 20 Twins CF 900 1.36 0.35 1.45 85 74 117 2.94 Elite
80 Drew Smyly MLB 25 Rays LHP 143.7 -0.51 1.46 75 L 97% 193 2.91 Good
81 Joe Wieland MLB 24 Padres RHP 476.8 -1.27 0.8 75 R 91% 333 2.87 Good
82 Rougned Odor MLB 20 Rangers 2B 1436 -0.32 -0.31 0.83 66 71 144 2.83 Good
83 Drew Pomeranz MLB 25 Athletics LHP 242.7 -0.2 1.86 77 L 100% 129 2.83 Good
84 Matt Harvey MLB 25 Mets RHP 245.7 -0.16 1.8 76 R 100% 213 2.82 Good
85 Alex Wood MLB 23 Braves LHP 123.4 -0.74 0.97 76 L 100% 190 2.80 Good
86 James Paxton MLB 25 Mariners LHP 360 0.1 1.43 76 L 97% 134 2.79 Good
87 Nicholas Tropeano MLB 23 Angels RHP 469.7 -0.69 1.31 76 R 87% 307 2.79 Good
88 Will Smith MLB 24 Brewers LHP 691.7 -1.24 0.88 77 L 84% 173 2.74 Good
89 Brandon Workman MLB 25 Red Sox RHP 432 -0.81 0.46 77 R 99% 152 2.73 Good
90 Gerrit Cole MLB 23 Pirates RHP 222.3 -0.43 0.94 76 R 100% 229 2.72 Good
91 Marco Gonzales MLB 22 Cardinals LHP 145.5 -0.93 1.01 73 L 93% 187 2.70 Good
92 Casey Crosby MLB 25 Tigers LHP 436.8 0.72 1.17 77 L 100% 93 2.70 Good
93 Travis Shaw AAA 24 Red Sox 1B 1889 1.35 0.12 1.15 54 76 367 2.69 Good
94 Tyler Pastornicky MLB 24 Braves SS 2201 0.42 -0.74 73 71 229 2.69 Good
95 Edwin Escobar MLB 22 Red Sox LHP 557.7 -0.67 1.14 73 L 93% 202 2.68 Good
96 Andrew Aplin AAA 23 Astros CF 1452 1.43 -1.22 -0.03 67 72 211 2.64 Good
97 Alex White MLB 25 Astros RHP 251.4 -0.84 0.55 75 R 98% 310 2.63 Good
98 Christian Binford AAA 21 Royals RHP 315.7 -1.36 0.81 78 R 93% 194 2.62 Good
99 Jake Marisnick MLB 23 Astros CF 2051 -0.32 0.01 0.93 72 76 230 2.60 Good
100 Brett Oberholtzer MLB 24 Astros LHP 433 -1.09 0.8 73 L 100% 174 2.57 Good
101 Henry Owens AAA 21 Red Sox LHP 395.7 2.52 78 L 99% 102 2.56 Good
102 Sean Nolin MLB 24 Blue Jays LHP 438.2 -0.48 1.01 76 L 93% 185 2.55 Good
103 Brandon Maurer MLB 23 Mariners RHP 388.9 -0.56 0.92 77 R 78% 215 2.55 Good
104 Ji-Man Choi AAA 23 Mariners 1B 1298 1.27 -0.51 0.85 53 73 279 2.54 Good
105 Manuel Margot A+ 19 Red Sox CF 995 0.57 -1.09 0.87 72 71 110 2.54 Elite
106 Zack Wheeler MLB 24 Mets RHP 391.4 0.15 1.67 76 R 90% 213 2.53 Good
107 David Holmberg MLB 22 Reds LHP 695.2 -0.94 0.67 75 L 94% 174 2.50 Good
108 Danny Hultzen AAA 24 Mariners LHP 159.7 0.28 2.12 75 L 100% 102 2.50 Good
109 Jesse Hahn MLB 24 Padres RHP 163.3 -0.35 0.55 77 R 94% 168 2.47 Good
110 Neil Ramirez MLB 25 Cubs RHP 587.9 0.03 1.45 76 R 89% 211 2.46 Good
111 Jacob Lamb MLB 23 Diamondbacks 3B 1079 0.84 0.07 1.4 53 75 449 2.45 Good
112 Manny Banuelos AAA 23 Yankees LHP 445.9 -0.3 1.63 70 L 85% 169 2.44 Good
113 Zach Borenstein AAA 23 Diamondbacks LF 1441 0.21 -0.05 1.37 59 72 251 2.44 Good
114 Garin Cecchini MLB 23 Red Sox 3B 1674 1.35 -0.41 0.27 67 75 234 2.43 Good
115 Chris Taylor MLB 23 Mariners SS 1183 1.06 -0.22 0.29 77 73 210 2.43 Good
116 Kevin Pillar MLB 25 Blue Jays LF 1788 -0.7 -1.18 0.41 71 72 157 2.40 Good
117 Liam Hendriks MLB 25 Royals RHP 580.3 -1.33 0.57 73 R 98% 223 2.39 Good
118 Domingo Santana MLB 21 Astros LF 2536 1.22 2.19 1.5 53 77 508 2.38 Good
119 Eddie Rosario AA 22 Twins CF 1874 -0.15 -0.19 1.23 68 73 171 2.34 Elite
120 Mike Olt MLB 25 Cubs 3B 1585 1.3 1.32 1.47 52 74 475 2.34 Good
121 Chad Bettis MLB 25 Rockies RHP 355 -0.77 0.88 73 R 78% 303 2.32 Good
122 Rick Porcello MLB 25 Tigers RHP 153 -0.94 -0.29 77 R 100% 116 2.32 Good
123 Jonathan Pettibone MLB 23 Phillies RHP 369.2 -0.96 -0.02 78 R 100% 130 2.29 Good
124 Brad Hand MLB 24 Marlins LHP 584.1 0.05 1.1 75 L 97% 128 2.26 Good
125 Eugenio Suarez MLB 22 Tigers SS 1723 0.62 0.2 0.58 60 71 361 2.25 Good
126 Tyler Matzek MLB 23 Rockies LHP 537.6 1.46 0.87 75 L 100% 96 2.24 Good
127 Nick Kingham AAA 22 Pirates RHP 503.3 -0.73 0.56 77 R 96% 168 2.24 Good
128 Josh Rutledge MLB 25 Rockies SS 1109 -0.46 -0.22 0.75 66 73 163 2.20 Good
129 John Lamb AAA 23 Royals LHP 511.3 -0.56 1.12 76 L 99% 177 2.19 Good
130 Tommy La Stella MLB 25 Braves 2B 1198 0.58 -1.69 0.24 58 71 185 2.19 Good
131 Kyle Lobstein MLB 24 Tigers LHP 811.2 -0.47 0.49 75 L 99% 150 2.18 Good
132 Alex Meyer AAA 24 Twins RHP 337.6 0.13 1.71 81 R 100% 139 2.18 Good
133 Oswaldo Arcia MLB 23 Twins RF 1808 0.22 0.32 1.83 56 72 325 2.17 Good
134 Jose Berrios AAA 20 Twins RHP 274.4 -0.7 1.72 72 R 87% 159 2.17 Good
135 Robbie Ray MLB 22 Tigers LHP 438 0.11 1.1 74 L 97% 136 2.15 Good
136 Rafael Montero MLB 23 Mets RHP 434.4 -1.02 0.96 72 R 94% 139 2.14 Good
137 Robert Refsnyder AAA 23 Yankees 2B 1332 1.17 -0.69 0.51 59 73 207 2.14 Good
138 Jimmy Nelson MLB 25 Brewers RHP 563.3 0.1 0.74 78 R 87% 135 2.13 Good
139 Starlin Castro MLB 24 Cubs SS 1098 -0.26 -0.84 0.29 65 72 201 2.13 Good
140 Justin Grimm MLB 25 Cubs RHP 323.3 -0.63 0.36 75 R 95% 313 2.12 Good
141 Jabari Blash AAA 24 Mariners RF 1793 1.2 1.01 1.31 54 77 498 2.07 Good
142 Robbie Ross MLB 25 Rangers LHP 381.6 -0.99 0.14 71 L 99% 109 2.06 Good
143 Lonnie Chisenhall MLB 25 Indians 3B 1780 0.34 -0.06 1.23 55 74 298 2.06 Good
144 Jose Pirela MLB 24 Yankees 2B 3470 0.12 -0.7 0.22 68 71 184 2.05 Good
145 Jose Ramirez MLB 21 Indians 2B 1344 0.09 -1.65 0.02 75 69 215 2.01 Good
146 Barret Loux AAA 25 Cubs RHP 316 -0.15 0.9 77 R 95% 155 2.00 Good
147 Brian Goodwin AAA 23 Nationals CF 1314 1.67 0.69 0.63 69 72 323 1.99 Good
148 Brett Phillips A+ 20 Astros RF 947 0.64 -0.34 1.17 67 72 155 1.99 Elite
149 Dario Pizzano AA 23 Mariners LF 1271 0.95 -1.51 0.58 52 71 204 1.99 Elite
150 Blake Beavan MLB 25 Mariners RHP 584 -1.6 -0.46 79 R 100% 112 1.97 Average
151 Rymer Liriano MLB 23 Padres LF 2550 0.08 0.84 0.74 71 72 321 1.97 Average
152 Steve Lombardozzi MLB 25 Orioles 2B 2001 0.48 -0.8 -0.04 67 72 270 1.97 Average
153 Jarred Cosart MLB 24 Astros RHP 447.6 -0.1 0.71 75 R 94% 247 1.96 Average
154 Xander Bogaerts MLB 21 Red Sox SS 1343 1.07 0.87 1.79 51 73 550 1.94 Average
155 Aaron Sanchez MLB 21 Blue Jays RHP 356.3 0.46 1.34 76 R 83% 203 1.94 Average
156 Tyler Wilson AAA 24 Orioles RHP 494.3 -0.83 0.41 74 R 100% 275 1.92 Good
157 Boone Whiting AAA 24 Cardinals RHP 441.8 -0.71 1.2 73 R 76% 318 1.92 Good
158 Tyler Austin AA 22 Yankees RF 1487 0.64 0.28 0.95 65 73 325 1.92 Elite
159 Allen Webster MLB 24 Red Sox RHP 721 -0.18 0.9 74 R 82% 307 1.92 Average
160 Jean Segura MLB 24 Brewers SS 1755 -0.2 -0.98 0.25 74 70 188 1.92 Average
161 Zach Lee AAA 22 Dodgers RHP 523.4 -0.96 0.43 75 R 96% 302 1.92 Good
162 Alexi Amarista MLB 25 Padres SS 2204 -0.15 -1 0.36 68 66 193 1.91 Average
163 Trevor May MLB 24 Twins RHP 775.3 0.48 1.99 77 R 97% 131 1.90 Average
164 Tim Cooney AAA 23 Cardinals LHP 368 -1.24 0.47 75 L 95% 173 1.90 Good
165 Devon Travis AA 23 Tigers 2B 1124 0.11 -1.22 0.66 66 69 240 1.89 Elite
166 Adam Morgan AAA 24 Phillies LHP 290.7 -0.68 0.61 73 L 98% 165 1.89 Good
167 Taylor Jordan MLB 25 Nationals RHP 369.9 -0.77 -0.36 77 R 91% 129 1.88 Average
168 Michael Taylor MLB 23 Nationals CF 2157 0.41 0.93 0.78 72 75 367 1.87 Average
169 Kelvin Encarnacion A 22 Cubs CF 738 0.61 -0.69 0.77 66 72 115 1.87 Elite
170 Adam Conley AAA 24 Marlins LHP 333 -0.46 0.69 75 L 94% 179 1.87 Good
171 Andy Wilkins MLB 25 White Sox 1B 2362 0.45 -0.24 1.36 51 73 297 1.86 Average
172 Brian Flynn MLB 24 Marlins LHP 520.4 -0.67 0.33 79 L 100% 119 1.85 Average
173 Carlos Moncrief AAA 25 Indians RF 2326 0.48 0.62 0.87 65 72 R 365 1.85 Good
174 Trayce Thompson AAA 23 White Sox CF 2723 0.57 1.41 1.26 69 75 354 1.85 Good
175 Jeurys Familia MLB 24 Mets RHP 576.7 0.02 1.25 75 R 94% 229 1.85 Average
176 Mikie Mahtook AAA 24 Rays CF 1673 -0.15 0.13 0.52 70 73 276 1.84 Good
177 Erasmo Ramirez MLB 24 Mariners RHP 498.6 -1.49 0.4 71 R 94% 134 1.84 Average
178 Sonny Gray MLB 24 Athletics RHP 292.3 -0.51 0.55 71 R 100% 115 1.83 Average
179 Archie Bradley AAA 21 Diamondbacks RHP 373 0.42 1.71 76 R 99% 164 1.82 Good
180 Jorge Polanco MLB 20 Twins SS 1628 0.5 -1.01 0.52 57 71 130 1.81 Average
181 Brandon Meredith AA 24 Astros LF 1291 1.04 0.16 0.98 58 74 346 1.81 Good
182 Trevor Bauer MLB 23 Indians RHP 323.3 0.02 2.26 73 R 100% 162 1.80 Average
183 Roberto Osuna A+ 19 Blue Jays RHP 109 -0.66 2.64 74 R 90% 119 1.80 Elite
184 Anthony Ranaudo MLB 24 Red Sox RHP 442.7 -0.11 0.46 79 R 99% 132 1.78 Average
185 Aaron Blair AA 22 Diamondbacks RHP 203 -0.34 0.92 77 R 100% 158 1.77 Good
186 Mark Canha AAA 25 Marlins LF 2054 0.74 -0.18 0.87 52 73 345 1.76 Good
187 Darnell Sweeney AA 23 Dodgers 2B 1507 0.45 0.17 0.65 74 73 301 1.76 Good
188 Kyle Hendricks MLB 24 Cubs RHP 452.4 -1.45 0.35 75 R 77% 417 1.76 Average
189 Luis Cruz AAA 23 Astros LHP 683.7 -0.49 0.72 69 L 80% 178 1.75 Good
190 Jon Moscot AAA 22 Reds RHP 340.6 -0.73 0.35 76 R 99% 247 1.75 Good
191 Kyle Zimmer AA 22 Royals RHP 152.8 -0.5 1.97 75 R 97% 273 1.74 Good
192 Danny Salazar MLB 24 Indians RHP 513.3 -0.64 0.75 72 R 98% 118 1.72 Average
193 James Ramsey AAA 24 Indians CF 1151 1.11 0.8 0.62 63 72 349 1.72 Good
194 Mike Wright AAA 24 Orioles RHP 447.4 -0.91 0.18 78 R 95% 172 1.71 Good
195 Jenrry Mejia MLB 24 Mets RHP 398 -0.3 0.91 72 R 76% 157 1.71 Average
196 Jacob Realmuto MLB 23 Marlins C 1766 0.06 -0.48 0.25 63 73 234 1.70 Average
197 Chris Archer MLB 25 Rays RHP 768.9 0.66 1.43 75 R 96% 201 1.70 Average
198 Evan Van Hoosier A 20 Rangers CF 684 0.26 -0.57 0.88 66 71 136 1.69 Elite
199 Mike Montgomery AAA 24 Rays LHP 543.8 -0.25 0.66 76 L 98% 145 1.69 Good
200 Cory Vaughn AAA 25 Mets RF 2196 0.59 0.41 0.86 58 75 361 1.67 Good
201 Jose Ramirez MLB 24 Yankees RHP 505.9 -0.09 0.68 75 R 84% 302 1.64 Average
202 Sean Gilmartin AAA 24 Twins LHP 431 -0.83 0.31 74 L 99% 160 1.64 Good
203 Trevor Story AA 21 Rockies SS 1775 1.01 1.46 1.22 70 73 411 1.63 Good
204 Clayton Blackburn AA 21 Giants RHP 395.6 -1.34 1.4 74 R 92% 323 1.63 Good
205 Adalberto Mejia AAA 21 Giants LHP 382.7 -1.27 0.45 75 L 79% 218 1.62 Good
206 Micah Johnson AAA 23 White Sox 2B 1391 0.21 -0.57 0.01 80 72 201 1.62 Good
207 Alex Sanabia MLB 25 Marlins RHP 422.8 -0.98 0.32 74 R 87% 297 1.60 Average
208 C.J. Edwards AA 22 Cubs RHP 237 -0.14 1.91 74 R 98% 225 1.59 Good
209 Abraham Almonte MLB 25 Padres CF 3297 0.71 0.03 0.31 77 69 296 1.57 Average
210 Alex Liddi MLB 25 Dodgers 1B 3734 0.32 1.75 1.23 62 76 397 1.57 Average
211 James Jones MLB 25 Mariners CF 2244 0.42 0.31 0.37 72 76 352 1.56 Average
212 Michael Yastrzemski AA 23 Orioles RF 831 -0.26 -0.12 0.89 72 71 182 1.55 Good
213 Ryan Cordell A+ 22 Rangers LF 642 -0.03 -0.23 0.71 69 76 150 1.54 Elite
214 Anthony Kemp AA 22 Astros 2B 955 0.99 -1.35 -0.16 73 66 173 1.54 Good
215 Jason Adam AAA 22 Royals RHP 526.9 -0.75 0.37 76 R 90% 260 1.54 Average
216 Zoilo Almonte MLB 25 Yankees LF 3125 0.03 0.5 0.9 58 72 344 1.53 Average
217 Cory Mazzoni AAA 24 Mets RHP 300.4 -0.79 0.51 73 R 82% 306 1.53 Average
218 Tyler Saladino AAA 24 White Sox SS 2100 0.98 0.02 0.36 71 72 332 1.52 Average
219 Zeke Spruill MLB 24 Diamondbacks RHP 788.8 -1.02 -0.24 77 R 83% 164 1.52 Average
220 Billy Hamilton MLB 23 Reds CF 2258 0.57 0.39 -0.28 97 72 122 1.51 Average
221 Tyler Pill AAA 24 Mets RHP 270.4 -0.86 0.59 73 R 82% 270 1.51 Average
222 Jared Hoying AAA 25 Rangers CF 2194 -0.24 0.69 0.71 70 75 292 1.50 Average
223 Austin Voth AA 22 Nationals RHP 173.1 -0.59 1.04 73 R 100% 200 1.50 Good
224 Stolmy Pimentel MLB 24 Pirates RHP 768.7 -0.57 0.24 75 R 94% 303 1.50 Average
225 Anthony Rizzo MLB 24 Cubs 1B 1913 0.85 1.13 2.09 50 75 570 1.49 Average
226 Mike Kickham MLB 25 Giants LHP 523.7 0.23 0.47 76 L 96% 133 1.48 Average
227 Kyle Kubitza AA 23 Braves 3B 1777 1.69 0.8 0.74 68 75 383 1.48 Good
228 Keith Glenn A+ 23 Diamondbacks LF 1180 0.22 0.15 1.04 69 71 232 1.48 Elite
229 Sean Coyle AA 22 Red Sox 2B 1622 0.72 1.01 1.35 67 68 448 1.48 Good
230 Leandro Castro AAA 25 Phillies CF 3019 -0.96 -0.59 0.44 69 71 151 1.48 Average
231 Jake Thompson AA 20 Rangers RHP 241.3 -0.33 1.71 76 R 96% 250 1.46 Good
232 Henderson Alvarez MLB 24 Marlins RHP 404.9 -1.29 -0.04 72 R 94% 113 1.46 Average
233 Anthony DeSclafani MLB 24 Marlins RHP 354.3 -1.04 0.17 73 R 89% 253 1.46 Average
234 Taylor Motter AA 24 Rays RF 1326 0.42 -0.9 0.27 65 73 R 172 1.44 Good
235 Jesse Biddle AA 22 Phillies LHP 551.9 0.43 1.54 77 L 99% 109 1.44 Good
236 Brett Eibner AAA 25 Royals CF 1676 0.8 1.46 0.76 60 75 439 1.44 Average
237 Anthony Gose MLB 23 Blue Jays CF 2704 0.58 1.56 0.42 88 73 100 1.44 Average
238 Robert Stephenson AA 21 Reds RHP 316.1 -0.19 1.78 75 R 98% 257 1.43 Good
239 Caleb Gindl MLB 25 Brewers RF 3596 0.88 0.62 0.76 55 69 417 1.43 Average
240 Steven Matz AA 23 Mets LHP 275.9 -0.31 0.85 74 L 100% 179 1.43 Good
241 Juan Oramas AAA 24 Padres LHP 549.1 -0.52 1.38 70 L 73% 173 1.43 Average
242 Eric Jokisch MLB 24 Cubs LHP 647.6 -0.77 0.26 74 L 80% 229 1.42 Average
243 Jose Alvarez MLB 25 Angels LHP 877.6 -0.93 0.05 71 L 76% 166 1.41 Average
244 Jonathan Gray AA 22 Rockies RHP 161.6 -0.48 1.04 76 R 100% 221 1.41 Good
245 Ben Lively AA 22 Reds RHP 192 -0.43 1.54 76 R 100% 231 1.40 Good
246 Kyle Crick AA 21 Giants RHP 277.3 1.02 2.63 74 R 87% 102 1.40 Good
247 Mike Foltynewicz MLB 22 Astros RHP 518 0.15 0.52 76 R 88% 221 1.38 Average
248 Logan Verrett AAA 24 Mets RHP 411.4 -1.34 0.21 74 R 100% 261 1.37 Average
249 Eduardo Rodriguez AA 21 Red Sox LHP 420.7 -0.65 0.66 74 L 99% 177 1.37 Good
250 Jose Cisnero MLB 25 Astros RHP 518.1 0.69 1.28 75 R 83% 265 1.36 Average

2015 JAVIER 25 and under Prospect Team Rankings

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. These numbers are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore.

After going through each team individually, I wanted to see how each team stacked up against the others based on the average JAVIER score for eligible players 25 and younger. I also included the amount of players in each JAVIER category for each team. The Cubs have the most elite prospects, while the Indians, Brewers, and Giants have none.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View the team 25 and under lists here.

Team Average JAVIER Terrible Bad Average Good Elite
Cubs 0.44 61 26 20 13 6
Red Sox 0.35 67 22 14 11 4
Astros 0.34 78 22 22 16 4
Marlins 0.30 72 17 16 5 3
Rangers 0.29 76 14 20 10 4
Padres 0.26 64 22 17 6 2
Blue Jays 0.26 60 22 7 8 4
Rays 0.25 72 28 19 16 2
Mariners 0.25 81 22 26 12 2
Twins 0.25 62 19 10 9 3
Mets 0.22 82 22 23 10 2
Pirates 0.21 66 18 17 3 5
Orioles 0.21 62 12 15 6 3
Cardinals 0.21 75 26 23 10 1
Yankees 0.19 73 23 21 12 3
Rockies 0.17 69 27 12 9 2
Nationals 0.16 62 17 15 3 3
Royals 0.15 85 18 15 9 1
Indians 0.14 64 31 16 9 0
Braves 0.13 73 16 8 7 1
Diamondbacks 0.11 84 23 12 11 1
Reds 0.11 69 19 16 7 1
White Sox 0.11 75 20 10 4 2
Tigers 0.10 73 21 7 8 1
Athletics 0.10 74 18 12 4 1
Dodgers 0.09 63 19 13 5 2
Angels 0.09 59 12 12 2 2
Brewers 0.08 65 18 12 5  0
Phillies 0.04 69 24 14 5 1
Giants 0.03 69 21 12 7  0

Elite Players by Team

Cubs-Kris Bryant, Javier Baez, Jorge Soler, Addison Russell, Kelvin Encarnacion, Roberto Caro

Red Sox-Mookie Betts, Manuel Margot, Wendell Rijo, Carlos Asuaje

Astros-George Springer, Jose Altuve, Brett Phillips, Carlos Correa

Marlins-Giancarlo Stanton, Jose Fernandez, Christian Yelich

Rangers-Joey Gallo, Jurickson Profar, Evan Van Hoosier, Ryan Cordell

Padres-Matt Wisler, Cristhofer Martinez

Blue Jays-Andrew Burns, Roberto Osuna, Dwight Smith, Franklin Barreto

Rays-Nick Franklin, Willy Adames

Mariners-Taijuan Walker, Dario Pizzano

Twins-Miguel Sano, Byron Buxton, Eddie Rosario

Mets-Noah Syndergaard, Dilson Herrera

Pirates-Gregory Polanco, Jaff Decker, Alen Hanson, Jameson Taillon, Tyler Glasnow

Orioles-Dylan Bundy, Manny Machado, Hunter Harvey

Cardinals-Shelby Miller

Yankees-Michael Pineda, Tyler Austin, Jose Figueroa

Rockies-Corey Dickerson, Jordan Lyles

Nationals-Bryce Harper, A.J. Cole, Lucas Giolito

Royals-Eric Hosmer

Indians-None

Braves-Jason Heyward

Diamondbacks-Keith Glenn

Reds-Tony Cingrani

White Sox-Marcus Semien, Adam Eaton

Tigers-Devon Travis

Athletics-Derek Norris

Dodgers-Joc Pederson, Julio Urias

Angels-Mike Trout, Tyler Skaggs

Brewers-None

Phillies-Jesmuel Valentin

Giants-None


2015 JAVIER Washington Nationals 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Bryce Harper MLB 21 CF 550 4.11 Elite
A.J. Cole AAA 22 RHP 500.3 3.08 Elite
Steven Souza MLB 25 RF 2956 3.02 Good
Brian Goodwin AAA 23 CF 1314 1.99 Good
Taylor Jordan MLB 25 RHP 369.9 1.88 Average
Michael Taylor MLB 23 CF 2157 1.87 Average
Austin Voth AA 22 RHP 173.1 1.50 Good
Lucas Giolito A 19 RHP 136.7 1.24 Elite
Drew Vettleson AA 22 RF 1638 0.87 Average
Matt Skole AA 24 1B 1394 0.83 Average
Paul Demny AAA 24 RHP 701.2 0.65 Average
Jason Martinson AA 25 SS 2437 0.58 Average
William Ballou A+ 24 LF 866 0.57 Average
Felipe Rivero AA 22 LHP 354.3 0.57 Average
Sammy Solis AA 25 LHP 178.6 0.54 Average
Wilmer Difo A+ 22 SS 1360 0.46 Average
Matt Purke AA 23 LHP 136.6 0.42 Average
Nick Pivetta A 21 RHP 166.3 0.35 Average
Bryan Mejia A- 20 2B 712 0.31 Average
Wander Ramos A 24 LF 863 0.31 Average
Taylor Hill MLB 25 RHP 479.3 0.31 Bad
Wirkin Estevez A 22 RHP 160.3 0.29 Average
Blake Schwartz AA 24 RHP 268.3 0.26 Bad
Quincy Latimore AA 25 LF 3169 0.23 Bad
Estarlin Martinez A+ 22 RF 1400 0.17 Bad

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Anthony Rendon MLB 24 3B 326 4.38 Elite
Stephen Strasburg MLB 25 RHP 20.3 3.14 Good
Robbie Dickey A 20 RHP 34.7 0.17 Bad
Reynaldo Lopez A 20 RHP 99.3 0.15 Bad
Jefry Rodriguez A 20 RHP 124 0.14 Bad
Pedro Encarnacion A+ 23 RHP 308.9 0.11 Bad
Anderson Franco FRk 16 3B 237 0.08 Bad
Jake Johansen A 23 RHP 152.3 0.07 Bad
Brandon Miller A+ 24 RF 952 0.05 Bad
Jakson Reetz Rk 18 C 155 0.02 Bad
Raudy Read A- 20 C 793 -0.03 Terrible
Tony Renda A+ 23 2B 1412 -0.04 Terrible
Drew Ward A 19 3B 677 -0.05 Terrible
Cody Gunter A- 20 3B 446 -0.08 Terrible
Brett Mooneyham A+ 24 LHP 213.3 -0.09 Terrible
Rafael Bautista A 21 CF 1032 -0.09 Terrible
John Wooten A+ 23 3B 1280 -0.13 Terrible
Pedro Severino A+ 20 C 882 -0.16 Terrible
Dakota Bacus A+ 23 RHP 288.3 -0.16 Terrible
Rick Hague AA 25 3B 1507 -0.18 Terrible
Robert Benincasa AA 23 RHP 129.6 -0.22 Terrible
Richie Mirowski AA 25 RHP 163.3 -0.26 Terrible
Craig Manuel AA 24 C 607 -0.31 Terrible
Neil Holland AAA 25 RHP 275.1 -0.45 Terrible
Sandy Leon MLB 25 C 2078 -0.74 Terrible

2015 JAVIER Toronto Blue Jays 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Daniel Norris MLB 21 LHP 258.1 3.64 Good
Drew Hutchison MLB 23 RHP 201.4 3.54 Good
Brett Lawrie MLB 24 3B 1429 3.41 Good
Andrew Burns AA 23 3B 1562 3.26 Elite
Dalton Pompey MLB 21 LF 1414 3.12 Good
Sean Nolin MLB 24 LHP 438.2 2.55 Good
Kevin Pillar MLB 25 LF 1788 2.40 Good
Aaron Sanchez MLB 21 RHP 356.3 1.94 Average
Roberto Osuna A+ 19 RHP 109 1.80 Elite
Anthony Gose MLB 23 CF 2704 1.44 Average
Matt Boyd AA 23 LHP 157.4 1.35 Good
Dwight Smith A+ 21 LF 1256 1.33 Elite
Michael Crouse AA 23 LF 1976 1.05 Good
Franklin Barreto A- 18 SS 580 1.03 Elite
Marcus Stroman MLB 23 RHP 166.7 0.63 Bad
Oliver Dominguez AAA 25 2B 1860 0.52 Bad
Chase DeJong A 20 RHP 165 0.50 Average
Kendall Graveman MLB 23 RHP 207 0.46 Bad
Jairo Labourt A 20 LHP 211.3 0.42 Average
D.J. Davis A 19 CF 1066 0.30 Average
Marcus Knecht A+ 24 RF 2214 0.29 Average
Miguel Castro A+ 19 RHP 118 0.29 Average
K.C. Hobson AA 23 1B 2222 0.24 Bad
Taylor Cole AA 24 RHP 381.3 0.24 Bad
Derrick Loveless A 21 RF 872 0.19 Bad

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Rowdy Tellez A 19 1B 408 0.37 Average
Anthony Alford A 19 CF 110 0.35 Average
Jeremy Gabryszwski A+ 21 RHP 279.3 0.14 Bad
Shane Dawson A 20 LHP 132.7 0.14 Bad
Thomas Robson A 21 RHP 107 0.13 Bad
L.B. Dantzler A+ 23 1B 653 0.11 Bad
Alberto Tirado A 19 RHP 172 0.11 Bad
Sean Reid-Foley Rk 18 RHP 22.7 0.08 Bad
Deck McGuire AAA 25 RHP 576.7 0.04 Bad
Matthew Dean A 21 1B 900 0.02 Bad
Richard Urena A- 18 2B 305 0.01 Bad
Maxwell Pentecost A- 21 DH 109 -0.01 Terrible
Matt Smoral A- 20 LHP 79.4 -0.02 Terrible
Clinton Hollon Rk 19 RHP 17.3 -0.06 Terrible
Adonys Cardona A 20 RHP 83.4 -0.06 Terrible
Emilio Guerrero A+ 21 SS 1174 -0.06 Terrible
Yeyfry Del Rosario A 20 RHP 161.3 -0.07 Terrible
Jacob Brentz Rk 19 LHP 47.4 -0.07 Terrible
Mitch Nay A+ 20 3B 816 -0.10 Terrible
Christian Lopes A+ 21 2B 1193 -0.13 Terrible
Dickie Thon A 22 2B 949 -0.14 Terrible
Gabriel Cenas Rk 20 3B 643 -0.14 Terrible
Dawel Lugo A 19 SS 953 -0.17 Terrible
Santiago Nessy A+ 21 C 857 -0.17 Terrible
Brady Dragmire A 21 RHP 152 -0.18 Terrible
Rob Rasmussen MLB 25 LHP 468.9 -0.31 Terrible
A.J. Jimenez AAA 24 C 1804 -0.39 Terrible
John Stilson AAA 23 RHP 187.9 -0.40 Terrible

2015 JAVIER Texas Rangers 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Joey Gallo AA 20 3B 1264 8.26 Elite
Jurickson Profar MLB 21 SS 1532 7.82 Elite
Martin Perez MLB 23 LHP 583.7 3.28 Good
Ryan Rua MLB 24 3B 1588 2.97 Good
Rougned Odor MLB 20 2B 1436 2.83 Good
Robbie Ross MLB 25 LHP 381.6 2.06 Good
Evan Van Hoosier A 20 CF 684 1.69 Elite
Ryan Cordell A+ 22 LF 642 1.54 Elite
Jared Hoying AAA 25 CF 2194 1.50 Average
Jake Thompson AA 20 RHP 241.3 1.46 Good
Nick Tepesch MLB 25 RHP 357 1.25 Average
Luke Jackson AAA 22 RHP 456 1.19 Average
Drew Robinson AAA 22 RF 1807 1.14 Average
Michael Choice MLB 24 LF 1856 1.06 Average
Jake Smolinski MLB 25 LF 2950 1.04 Average
Chris Bostick A+ 21 2B 1484 1.04 Good
Travis Demeritte A 19 2B 641 0.94 Good
Alec Asher AA 22 RHP 322.3 0.85 Average
Nick Williams AA 20 CF 1114 0.85 Average
Nick Martinez MLB 23 RHP 337 0.82 Average
Che-Hsuan Lin MLB 25 RF 3187 0.77 Average
Aliangel Lopez A 20 LHP 235.6 0.76 Good
Jason Knapp A+ 23 RHP 188.6 0.71 Good
Alex Gonzalez AA 22 RHP 181.3 0.63 Average
Nomar Mazara AA 19 RF 1307 0.56 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Lewis Brinson A+ 20 CF 1153 0.45 Average
Victor Payano A+ 21 LHP 366 0.42 Average
Kelvin Vasquez A 21 RHP 213.3 0.39 Average
Jerad Eickhoff AA 23 RHP 445 0.39 Average
Andrew Faulkner AA 21 LHP 365.3 0.25 Bad
Marcos Diplan FRk 17 RHP 64.3 0.25 Average
David Ledbetter A 22 RHP 146.3 0.17 Bad
Akeem Bostick A 19 RHP 133.6 0.14 Bad
Connor Sadzeck A 22 RHP 194 0.14 Bad
Jorge Alfaro AA 21 C 1466 0.13 Bad
Cody Buckel AA 22 RHP 316.7 0.05 Bad
Kellin Deglan A+ 22 C 1601 0.00 Terrible
Corey Knebel MLB 22 RHP 76.3 -0.03 Terrible
Josh Morgan A- 18 2B 243 -0.03 Terrible
Roman Mendez MLB 23 RHP 424.7 -0.06 Terrible
Yeyson Yrizarri Rk 17 SS 254 -0.06 Terrible
Cole Wiper A 22 RHP 126.3 -0.07 Terrible
Wilmer Font MLB 24 RHP 418.3 -0.10 Terrible
Ronald Guzman A 19 1B 918 -0.12 Terrible
Ti’Quan Forbes Rk 17 3B 204 -0.12 Terrible
Jose Leclerc A+ 20 RHP 197.3 -0.14 Terrible
Jose Almonte Rk 17 RF 232 -0.14 Terrible
Samuel Wolff A+ 23 RHP 150.3 -0.17 Terrible
Jairo Beras A 19 LF 497 -0.21 Terrible
Keone Kela AA 21 RHP 99.4 -0.23 Terrible
Odubel Herrera AA 22 SS 2337 -0.25 Terrible
Michael De Leon AA 17 SS 404 -0.26 Terrible
Lisalverto Bonilla MLB 24 RHP 358.9 -0.29 Terrible
Luis Sardinas MLB 21 SS 1527 -0.33 Terrible
Alex Claudio MLB 22 LHP 259.2 -0.34 Terrible
Brett Nicholas AAA 25 C 2077 -0.44 Terrible
Ben Rowen MLB 25 RHP 262 -0.47 Terrible

2015 JAVIER Tampa Bay Rays 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Nick Franklin MLB 23 SS 2202 4.00 Elite
Jake Odorizzi MLB 24 RHP 605 3.19 Good
Wil Myers MLB 23 RF 1964 3.15 Good
Matt Moore MLB 25 LHP 501.3 3.11 Good
Drew Smyly MLB 25 LHP 143.7 2.91 Good
Mikie Mahtook AAA 24 CF 1673 1.84 Good
Chris Archer MLB 25 RHP 768.9 1.70 Average
Mike Montgomery AAA 24 LHP 543.8 1.69 Good
Taylor Motter AA 24 RF 1326 1.44 Good
Kevin Kiermaier MLB 24 CF 1649 1.36 Average
Ryan Brett AA 22 2B 1627 1.35 Good
Matt Andriese AAA 24 RHP 484.7 1.30 Average
Enny Romero MLB 23 LHP 643.9 1.30 Average
Alex Colome MLB 25 RHP 696.3 1.29 Average
Willy Adames A 18 SS 514 1.15 Elite
Curtis Casali MLB 25 C 1136 1.08 Average
Johnny Field A+ 22 CF 793 0.94 Good
Richie Shaffer AA 23 3B 1148 0.84 Average
Jacob Faria A 20 RHP 239.7 0.79 Good
Blake Snell A+ 21 LHP 288.2 0.71 Good
Thomas Coyle A+ 23 2B 1377 0.70 Good
Tyler Goeddel A+ 21 3B 1355 0.67 Good
Patrick Leonard A+ 21 1B 1276 0.63 Good
Tyler Young A 21 3B 642 0.63 Good
Joey Rickard AA 23 CF 1019 0.61 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Brent Honeywell Rk 19 RHP 33.7 0.68 Good
Hak-Ju Lee AAA 23 SS 2371 0.58 Bad
Grayson Garvin AA 24 LHP 148.7 0.55 Average
Cristian Toribio Rk 19 SS 579 0.54 Good
Taylor Guerrieri A 21 RHP 128.3 0.53 Average
Oscar Hernandez A 20 C 1078 0.33 Average
Ryne Stanek A+ 22 RHP 58.7 0.29 Average
Tim Beckham MLB 24 SS 2812 0.18 Bad
Andrew Toles A+ 22 CF 1009 0.13 Bad
Jeff Ames A+ 23 RHP 243.6 0.12 Bad
Josh Sale A+ 22 LF 897 0.06 Bad
Luke Maile AA 23 C 1052 0.05 Bad
Jose Alvarado Rk 19 LHP 66.3 0.04 Bad
Riley Unroe Rk 18 2B 478 0.03 Bad
Casey Gillaspie A- 21 1B 308 0.03 Bad
Thomas Milone A- 19 CF 426 0.02 Bad
Enderson Franco A- 21 RHP 217.4 0.01 Bad
Dylan Floro AA 23 RHP 346 0.01 Bad
David Rodriguez Rk 18 C 146 -0.04 Terrible
Andres Gonzalez Rk 20 RHP 95.3 -0.08 Terrible
Cameron Varga Rk 19 RHP 33.3 -0.08 Terrible
Justin O’Conner AA 22 C 1317 -0.10 Terrible
Jose Mujica Rk 18 RHP 35 -0.10 Terrible
Jose Castillo Rk 18 LHP 35.4 -0.11 Terrible
Nick Ciuffo Rk 19 C 381 -0.14 Terrible
Kean Wong A 19 2B 648 -0.18 Terrible
Jake Hager AA 21 SS 1697 -0.24 Terrible
C.J. Riefenhauser MLB 24 LHP 384.3 -0.28 Terrible

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