2015 JAVIER 25 and under Prospect Team Rankings

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. These numbers are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore.

After going through each team individually, I wanted to see how each team stacked up against the others based on the average JAVIER score for eligible players 25 and younger. I also included the amount of players in each JAVIER category for each team. The Cubs have the most elite prospects, while the Indians, Brewers, and Giants have none.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View the team 25 and under lists here.

Team Average JAVIER Terrible Bad Average Good Elite
Cubs 0.44 61 26 20 13 6
Red Sox 0.35 67 22 14 11 4
Astros 0.34 78 22 22 16 4
Marlins 0.30 72 17 16 5 3
Rangers 0.29 76 14 20 10 4
Padres 0.26 64 22 17 6 2
Blue Jays 0.26 60 22 7 8 4
Rays 0.25 72 28 19 16 2
Mariners 0.25 81 22 26 12 2
Twins 0.25 62 19 10 9 3
Mets 0.22 82 22 23 10 2
Pirates 0.21 66 18 17 3 5
Orioles 0.21 62 12 15 6 3
Cardinals 0.21 75 26 23 10 1
Yankees 0.19 73 23 21 12 3
Rockies 0.17 69 27 12 9 2
Nationals 0.16 62 17 15 3 3
Royals 0.15 85 18 15 9 1
Indians 0.14 64 31 16 9 0
Braves 0.13 73 16 8 7 1
Diamondbacks 0.11 84 23 12 11 1
Reds 0.11 69 19 16 7 1
White Sox 0.11 75 20 10 4 2
Tigers 0.10 73 21 7 8 1
Athletics 0.10 74 18 12 4 1
Dodgers 0.09 63 19 13 5 2
Angels 0.09 59 12 12 2 2
Brewers 0.08 65 18 12 5  0
Phillies 0.04 69 24 14 5 1
Giants 0.03 69 21 12 7  0

Elite Players by Team

Cubs-Kris Bryant, Javier Baez, Jorge Soler, Addison Russell, Kelvin Encarnacion, Roberto Caro

Red Sox-Mookie Betts, Manuel Margot, Wendell Rijo, Carlos Asuaje

Astros-George Springer, Jose Altuve, Brett Phillips, Carlos Correa

Marlins-Giancarlo Stanton, Jose Fernandez, Christian Yelich

Rangers-Joey Gallo, Jurickson Profar, Evan Van Hoosier, Ryan Cordell

Padres-Matt Wisler, Cristhofer Martinez

Blue Jays-Andrew Burns, Roberto Osuna, Dwight Smith, Franklin Barreto

Rays-Nick Franklin, Willy Adames

Mariners-Taijuan Walker, Dario Pizzano

Twins-Miguel Sano, Byron Buxton, Eddie Rosario

Mets-Noah Syndergaard, Dilson Herrera

Pirates-Gregory Polanco, Jaff Decker, Alen Hanson, Jameson Taillon, Tyler Glasnow

Orioles-Dylan Bundy, Manny Machado, Hunter Harvey

Cardinals-Shelby Miller

Yankees-Michael Pineda, Tyler Austin, Jose Figueroa

Rockies-Corey Dickerson, Jordan Lyles

Nationals-Bryce Harper, A.J. Cole, Lucas Giolito

Royals-Eric Hosmer

Indians-None

Braves-Jason Heyward

Diamondbacks-Keith Glenn

Reds-Tony Cingrani

White Sox-Marcus Semien, Adam Eaton

Tigers-Devon Travis

Athletics-Derek Norris

Dodgers-Joc Pederson, Julio Urias

Angels-Mike Trout, Tyler Skaggs

Brewers-None

Phillies-Jesmuel Valentin

Giants-None

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2 Comments on “2015 JAVIER 25 and under Prospect Team Rankings”

  1. […] is frequently maligned for its supposed lack of impact talent, and this probably won’t help: Chris St. John of Steal of Home ranked the team 28th in terms of talent at or below age 25. He listed six members of the […]

  2. […] have approached the topic from the standpoint of minor-league statistics, and found some ability to project future success with that information. That’s […]


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