2015 JAVIER 25 and under Prospect Team RankingsPosted: November 14, 2014
A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. These numbers are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore.
After going through each team individually, I wanted to see how each team stacked up against the others based on the average JAVIER score for eligible players 25 and younger. I also included the amount of players in each JAVIER category for each team. The Cubs have the most elite prospects, while the Indians, Brewers, and Giants have none.
In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.
Elite Players by Team
Cubs-Kris Bryant, Javier Baez, Jorge Soler, Addison Russell, Kelvin Encarnacion, Roberto Caro
Red Sox-Mookie Betts, Manuel Margot, Wendell Rijo, Carlos Asuaje
Astros-George Springer, Jose Altuve, Brett Phillips, Carlos Correa
Marlins-Giancarlo Stanton, Jose Fernandez, Christian Yelich
Rangers-Joey Gallo, Jurickson Profar, Evan Van Hoosier, Ryan Cordell
Padres-Matt Wisler, Cristhofer Martinez
Blue Jays-Andrew Burns, Roberto Osuna, Dwight Smith, Franklin Barreto
Rays-Nick Franklin, Willy Adames
Mariners-Taijuan Walker, Dario Pizzano
Twins-Miguel Sano, Byron Buxton, Eddie Rosario
Mets-Noah Syndergaard, Dilson Herrera
Pirates-Gregory Polanco, Jaff Decker, Alen Hanson, Jameson Taillon, Tyler Glasnow
Orioles-Dylan Bundy, Manny Machado, Hunter Harvey
Yankees-Michael Pineda, Tyler Austin, Jose Figueroa
Rockies-Corey Dickerson, Jordan Lyles
Nationals-Bryce Harper, A.J. Cole, Lucas Giolito
White Sox-Marcus Semien, Adam Eaton
Dodgers-Joc Pederson, Julio Urias
Angels-Mike Trout, Tyler Skaggs