2015 JAVIER Washington Nationals 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Bryce Harper MLB 21 CF 550 4.11 Elite
A.J. Cole AAA 22 RHP 500.3 3.08 Elite
Steven Souza MLB 25 RF 2956 3.02 Good
Brian Goodwin AAA 23 CF 1314 1.99 Good
Taylor Jordan MLB 25 RHP 369.9 1.88 Average
Michael Taylor MLB 23 CF 2157 1.87 Average
Austin Voth AA 22 RHP 173.1 1.50 Good
Lucas Giolito A 19 RHP 136.7 1.24 Elite
Drew Vettleson AA 22 RF 1638 0.87 Average
Matt Skole AA 24 1B 1394 0.83 Average
Paul Demny AAA 24 RHP 701.2 0.65 Average
Jason Martinson AA 25 SS 2437 0.58 Average
William Ballou A+ 24 LF 866 0.57 Average
Felipe Rivero AA 22 LHP 354.3 0.57 Average
Sammy Solis AA 25 LHP 178.6 0.54 Average
Wilmer Difo A+ 22 SS 1360 0.46 Average
Matt Purke AA 23 LHP 136.6 0.42 Average
Nick Pivetta A 21 RHP 166.3 0.35 Average
Bryan Mejia A- 20 2B 712 0.31 Average
Wander Ramos A 24 LF 863 0.31 Average
Taylor Hill MLB 25 RHP 479.3 0.31 Bad
Wirkin Estevez A 22 RHP 160.3 0.29 Average
Blake Schwartz AA 24 RHP 268.3 0.26 Bad
Quincy Latimore AA 25 LF 3169 0.23 Bad
Estarlin Martinez A+ 22 RF 1400 0.17 Bad

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Anthony Rendon MLB 24 3B 326 4.38 Elite
Stephen Strasburg MLB 25 RHP 20.3 3.14 Good
Robbie Dickey A 20 RHP 34.7 0.17 Bad
Reynaldo Lopez A 20 RHP 99.3 0.15 Bad
Jefry Rodriguez A 20 RHP 124 0.14 Bad
Pedro Encarnacion A+ 23 RHP 308.9 0.11 Bad
Anderson Franco FRk 16 3B 237 0.08 Bad
Jake Johansen A 23 RHP 152.3 0.07 Bad
Brandon Miller A+ 24 RF 952 0.05 Bad
Jakson Reetz Rk 18 C 155 0.02 Bad
Raudy Read A- 20 C 793 -0.03 Terrible
Tony Renda A+ 23 2B 1412 -0.04 Terrible
Drew Ward A 19 3B 677 -0.05 Terrible
Cody Gunter A- 20 3B 446 -0.08 Terrible
Brett Mooneyham A+ 24 LHP 213.3 -0.09 Terrible
Rafael Bautista A 21 CF 1032 -0.09 Terrible
John Wooten A+ 23 3B 1280 -0.13 Terrible
Pedro Severino A+ 20 C 882 -0.16 Terrible
Dakota Bacus A+ 23 RHP 288.3 -0.16 Terrible
Rick Hague AA 25 3B 1507 -0.18 Terrible
Robert Benincasa AA 23 RHP 129.6 -0.22 Terrible
Richie Mirowski AA 25 RHP 163.3 -0.26 Terrible
Craig Manuel AA 24 C 607 -0.31 Terrible
Neil Holland AAA 25 RHP 275.1 -0.45 Terrible
Sandy Leon MLB 25 C 2078 -0.74 Terrible
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