2015 JAVIER Toronto Blue Jays 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Daniel Norris MLB 21 LHP 258.1 3.64 Good
Drew Hutchison MLB 23 RHP 201.4 3.54 Good
Brett Lawrie MLB 24 3B 1429 3.41 Good
Andrew Burns AA 23 3B 1562 3.26 Elite
Dalton Pompey MLB 21 LF 1414 3.12 Good
Sean Nolin MLB 24 LHP 438.2 2.55 Good
Kevin Pillar MLB 25 LF 1788 2.40 Good
Aaron Sanchez MLB 21 RHP 356.3 1.94 Average
Roberto Osuna A+ 19 RHP 109 1.80 Elite
Anthony Gose MLB 23 CF 2704 1.44 Average
Matt Boyd AA 23 LHP 157.4 1.35 Good
Dwight Smith A+ 21 LF 1256 1.33 Elite
Michael Crouse AA 23 LF 1976 1.05 Good
Franklin Barreto A- 18 SS 580 1.03 Elite
Marcus Stroman MLB 23 RHP 166.7 0.63 Bad
Oliver Dominguez AAA 25 2B 1860 0.52 Bad
Chase DeJong A 20 RHP 165 0.50 Average
Kendall Graveman MLB 23 RHP 207 0.46 Bad
Jairo Labourt A 20 LHP 211.3 0.42 Average
D.J. Davis A 19 CF 1066 0.30 Average
Marcus Knecht A+ 24 RF 2214 0.29 Average
Miguel Castro A+ 19 RHP 118 0.29 Average
K.C. Hobson AA 23 1B 2222 0.24 Bad
Taylor Cole AA 24 RHP 381.3 0.24 Bad
Derrick Loveless A 21 RF 872 0.19 Bad

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Rowdy Tellez A 19 1B 408 0.37 Average
Anthony Alford A 19 CF 110 0.35 Average
Jeremy Gabryszwski A+ 21 RHP 279.3 0.14 Bad
Shane Dawson A 20 LHP 132.7 0.14 Bad
Thomas Robson A 21 RHP 107 0.13 Bad
L.B. Dantzler A+ 23 1B 653 0.11 Bad
Alberto Tirado A 19 RHP 172 0.11 Bad
Sean Reid-Foley Rk 18 RHP 22.7 0.08 Bad
Deck McGuire AAA 25 RHP 576.7 0.04 Bad
Matthew Dean A 21 1B 900 0.02 Bad
Richard Urena A- 18 2B 305 0.01 Bad
Maxwell Pentecost A- 21 DH 109 -0.01 Terrible
Matt Smoral A- 20 LHP 79.4 -0.02 Terrible
Clinton Hollon Rk 19 RHP 17.3 -0.06 Terrible
Adonys Cardona A 20 RHP 83.4 -0.06 Terrible
Emilio Guerrero A+ 21 SS 1174 -0.06 Terrible
Yeyfry Del Rosario A 20 RHP 161.3 -0.07 Terrible
Jacob Brentz Rk 19 LHP 47.4 -0.07 Terrible
Mitch Nay A+ 20 3B 816 -0.10 Terrible
Christian Lopes A+ 21 2B 1193 -0.13 Terrible
Dickie Thon A 22 2B 949 -0.14 Terrible
Gabriel Cenas Rk 20 3B 643 -0.14 Terrible
Dawel Lugo A 19 SS 953 -0.17 Terrible
Santiago Nessy A+ 21 C 857 -0.17 Terrible
Brady Dragmire A 21 RHP 152 -0.18 Terrible
Rob Rasmussen MLB 25 LHP 468.9 -0.31 Terrible
A.J. Jimenez AAA 24 C 1804 -0.39 Terrible
John Stilson AAA 23 RHP 187.9 -0.40 Terrible
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2 Comments on “2015 JAVIER Toronto Blue Jays 25 and under Prospect List”

  1. […] minor league statistics have done in their careers,” he explains, and gives us a list of how the Jays stack up by his measures, which is… interesting, especially with Aaron Sanchez grading out as […]

  2. Forever says:

    So excited I found this article as it made things much qukrcei!


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