2015 JAVIER Texas Rangers 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Joey Gallo AA 20 3B 1264 8.26 Elite
Jurickson Profar MLB 21 SS 1532 7.82 Elite
Martin Perez MLB 23 LHP 583.7 3.28 Good
Ryan Rua MLB 24 3B 1588 2.97 Good
Rougned Odor MLB 20 2B 1436 2.83 Good
Robbie Ross MLB 25 LHP 381.6 2.06 Good
Evan Van Hoosier A 20 CF 684 1.69 Elite
Ryan Cordell A+ 22 LF 642 1.54 Elite
Jared Hoying AAA 25 CF 2194 1.50 Average
Jake Thompson AA 20 RHP 241.3 1.46 Good
Nick Tepesch MLB 25 RHP 357 1.25 Average
Luke Jackson AAA 22 RHP 456 1.19 Average
Drew Robinson AAA 22 RF 1807 1.14 Average
Michael Choice MLB 24 LF 1856 1.06 Average
Jake Smolinski MLB 25 LF 2950 1.04 Average
Chris Bostick A+ 21 2B 1484 1.04 Good
Travis Demeritte A 19 2B 641 0.94 Good
Alec Asher AA 22 RHP 322.3 0.85 Average
Nick Williams AA 20 CF 1114 0.85 Average
Nick Martinez MLB 23 RHP 337 0.82 Average
Che-Hsuan Lin MLB 25 RF 3187 0.77 Average
Aliangel Lopez A 20 LHP 235.6 0.76 Good
Jason Knapp A+ 23 RHP 188.6 0.71 Good
Alex Gonzalez AA 22 RHP 181.3 0.63 Average
Nomar Mazara AA 19 RF 1307 0.56 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Lewis Brinson A+ 20 CF 1153 0.45 Average
Victor Payano A+ 21 LHP 366 0.42 Average
Kelvin Vasquez A 21 RHP 213.3 0.39 Average
Jerad Eickhoff AA 23 RHP 445 0.39 Average
Andrew Faulkner AA 21 LHP 365.3 0.25 Bad
Marcos Diplan FRk 17 RHP 64.3 0.25 Average
David Ledbetter A 22 RHP 146.3 0.17 Bad
Akeem Bostick A 19 RHP 133.6 0.14 Bad
Connor Sadzeck A 22 RHP 194 0.14 Bad
Jorge Alfaro AA 21 C 1466 0.13 Bad
Cody Buckel AA 22 RHP 316.7 0.05 Bad
Kellin Deglan A+ 22 C 1601 0.00 Terrible
Corey Knebel MLB 22 RHP 76.3 -0.03 Terrible
Josh Morgan A- 18 2B 243 -0.03 Terrible
Roman Mendez MLB 23 RHP 424.7 -0.06 Terrible
Yeyson Yrizarri Rk 17 SS 254 -0.06 Terrible
Cole Wiper A 22 RHP 126.3 -0.07 Terrible
Wilmer Font MLB 24 RHP 418.3 -0.10 Terrible
Ronald Guzman A 19 1B 918 -0.12 Terrible
Ti’Quan Forbes Rk 17 3B 204 -0.12 Terrible
Jose Leclerc A+ 20 RHP 197.3 -0.14 Terrible
Jose Almonte Rk 17 RF 232 -0.14 Terrible
Samuel Wolff A+ 23 RHP 150.3 -0.17 Terrible
Jairo Beras A 19 LF 497 -0.21 Terrible
Keone Kela AA 21 RHP 99.4 -0.23 Terrible
Odubel Herrera AA 22 SS 2337 -0.25 Terrible
Michael De Leon AA 17 SS 404 -0.26 Terrible
Lisalverto Bonilla MLB 24 RHP 358.9 -0.29 Terrible
Luis Sardinas MLB 21 SS 1527 -0.33 Terrible
Alex Claudio MLB 22 LHP 259.2 -0.34 Terrible
Brett Nicholas AAA 25 C 2077 -0.44 Terrible
Ben Rowen MLB 25 RHP 262 -0.47 Terrible
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