2015 JAVIER San Francisco Giants 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Clayton Blackburn AA 21 RHP 395.6 1.63 Good
Adalberto Mejia AAA 21 LHP 382.7 1.62 Good
Mike Kickham MLB 25 LHP 523.7 1.48 Average
Kyle Crick AA 21 RHP 277.3 1.40 Good
Matthew Duffy MLB 23 SS 1087 1.10 Average
Keury Mella A 20 RHP 191.3 1.01 Good
Adam Duvall MLB 25 3B 2149 1.01 Average
Jarrett Parker AAA 25 RF 2094 0.94 Average
Kendry Flores A+ 22 RHP 392.7 0.81 Good
Jeremy Sy A 24 2B 599 0.81 Good
Joan Gregorio A+ 22 RHP 287 0.78 Good
Christian Arroyo A 19 SS 601 0.49 Average
Tyler Horan A+ 23 RF 789 0.46 Average
Ty Blach AA 23 LHP 271.3 0.38 Average
Luis Ysla A 22 LHP 172.3 0.36 Average
Martin Agosta A+ 23 RHP 155.4 0.28 Average
Samuel Mende A+ 24 3B 938 0.27 Average
Pat Young A+ 22 RHP 156 0.26 Average
Chris Stratton AA 23 RHP 270.6 0.24 Bad
Hector Sanchez MLB 24 C 1407 0.23 Bad
Lorenzo Mendoza A- 22 RHP 190.7 0.23 Average
Joe Panik MLB 23 2B 1834 0.23 Bad
Chris Johnson A 22 RHP 133.7 0.18 Bad
Joseph Biagini A+ 24 RHP 317.7 0.18 Bad
Carlos Diaz A 20 LHP 257 0.16 Bad

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Raymond Black A+ 24 RHP 35.3 0.27 Average
Tyler Beede A- 21 RHP 15.4 0.26 Average
Michael Santos Rk 19 RHP 59.7 0.23 Average
Johneshwy Fargas A- 19 CF 298 0.18 Average
Chase Johnson A 22 RHP 156.6 0.15 Bad
Mac Williamson A+ 23 RF 844 0.14 Bad
Daniel Carbonell A+ 23 CF 138 0.13 Bad
Shilo McCall A- 20 RF 579 0.12 Bad
Tyler Hollick A 21 LF 641 0.11 Bad
Charles Jones A+ 21 RF 1730 0.06 Bad
Ehire Adrianza MLB 24 2B 2921 0.06 Bad
Andrew Susac MLB 24 C 989 0.03 Bad
Randy Ortiz A 21 CF 859 0.02 Bad
Dylan Brooks Rk 18 RHP 41.3 -0.01 Terrible
Jesus Galindo A+ 23 CF 1381 -0.05 Terrible
Austin Slater A- 21 CF 141 -0.05 Terrible
Angel Villalona AA 23 1B 2180 -0.06 Terrible
Reymi Rodriguez FRk 19 RHP 25.3 -0.08 Terrible
John Riley Rk 20 C 209 -0.09 Terrible
Stephen Johnson A+ 23 RHP 142.6 -0.11 Terrible
Gary Brown MLB 25 CF 2506 -0.13 Terrible
Aramis Garcia A- 21 C 114 -0.13 Terrible
Mason McVay A+ 23 LHP 170 -0.14 Terrible
Ryder Jones A 20 3B 681 -0.14 Terrible
Rando Moreno A+ 22 SS 1078 -0.15 Terrible
Joseph Kurrasch A+ 23 LHP 158.6 -0.15 Terrible
Brian Ragira A+ 22 1B 748 -0.15 Terrible
Jonah Arenado Rk 19 3B 251 -0.15 Terrible
Alberto Robles A+ 23 2B 786 -0.16 Terrible
Mitchell Delfino A+ 23 3B 1324 -0.17 Terrible
Jose Valdez AA 25 RHP 333.9 -0.18 Terrible
Derek Law AA 23 RHP 168.1 -0.18 Terrible
Ian Gardeck A+ 23 RHP 123.3 -0.19 Terrible
Bryce Bandilla AA 24 LHP 152.2 -0.19 Terrible
Tyler Mizenko A+ 24 RHP 146 -0.21 Terrible
Brandon Bednar A+ 22 3B 755 -0.21 Terrible
Steven Okert AA 22 LHP 157.7 -0.29 Terrible
Daniel Slania AA 22 RHP 83.7 -0.34 Terrible
Jake Dunning MLB 25 RHP 295 -0.35 Terrible
Blake Miller AA 24 2B 672 -0.35 Terrible
Ricky Oropesa AA 24 1B 1486 -0.36 Terrible
Phil McCormick AA 25 LHP 204 -0.36 Terrible
Joshua Osich AA 25 LHP 135.6 -0.37 Terrible
Jacob Dunnington AAA 23 RHP 110.6 -0.41 Terrible
Ydwin Villegas AAA 23 SS 1444 -0.42 Terrible
Nick Noonan MLB 25 SS 3322 -0.49 Terrible
Carter Jurica AAA 25 SS 1393 -0.50 Terrible
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One Comment on “2015 JAVIER San Francisco Giants 25 and under Prospect List”

  1. moseszd says:

    Wow, a search brought me here. Trying to find information on a prospect who took a major step forward. He’s ranked as ‘bad.’

    But I look at this table and I shake my head. It’s clearly abysmal in quantifying and projecting. And I mean, it’s really bad. Panik is one of the best young second basemen in MLB. Susac is good enough to start for a lot clubs. And there are other prospects really showing their stuff and rated as ‘terrible.’ Ugh.

    Meanwhile ‘good’ prospect Crick is a maniac who’ll be lucky to get out of AA and is trade bait at this point.


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