2015 JAVIER Philadelphia Phillies 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Jonathan Pettibone MLB 23 RHP 369.2 2.29 Good
Adam Morgan AAA 24 LHP 290.7 1.89 Good
Leandro Castro AAA 25 CF 3019 1.48 Average
Jesse Biddle AA 22 LHP 551.9 1.44 Good
Jesmuel Valentin A+ 20 2B 1123 1.29 Elite
Aaron Altherr MLB 23 LF 2298 1.08 Average
Maikel Franco MLB 21 3B 2204 0.86 Average
Tyson Gillies AAA 25 CF 2060 0.84 Average
Cody Asche MLB 24 3B 1291 0.83 Average
J.P. Crawford A+ 19 SS 766 0.72 Good
Dylan Cozens A 20 RF 1016 0.68 Good
Cesar Hernandez MLB 24 2B 2673 0.65 Bad
David Buchanan MLB 25 RHP 518.3 0.64 Bad
Jiandido Tromp A 20 CF 698 0.56 Average
Colin Kleven A+ 23 RHP 396 0.45 Average
Brian Pointer A+ 22 RF 1673 0.42 Average
Roman Quinn A+ 21 CF 989 0.40 Average
Brandon Short AAA 25 LF 2399 0.37 Bad
Samuel Hiciano A 20 LF 778 0.32 Average
Kelly Dugan AA 23 RF 1740 0.32 Bad
Art Charles A+ 23 1B 1718 0.30 Average
Jon Prosinski A+ 23 RHP 198.3 0.25 Average
Severino Gonzalez AA 21 RHP 397.8 0.24 Bad
Andrew Anderson A 20 RHP 148.7 0.23 Average
Zach Green A 20 1B 852 0.22 Bad

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Aaron Nola AA 21 RHP 55.3 1.07 Good
Ranger Suarez FRk 18 LHP 85.7 0.80 Elite
Matt Imhof A 20 LHP 42.3 0.72 Good
Shane Watson A 20 RHP 79 0.26 Average
Hoby Milner AA 23 LHP 355 0.22 Bad
Mauricio Robles MLB 25 LHP 610 0.21 Bad
Zach Collier AA 23 CF 2231 0.19 Bad
Anthony Hewitt AA 25 RF 2309 0.17 Bad
Yoel Mecias A 20 LHP 149.4 0.16 Bad
Jan Hernandez A 19 3B 418 0.12 Bad
Mark Leiter A+ 23 RHP 194 0.12 Bad
Tyler Viza A 19 RHP 158 0.07 Bad
Jose Pujols A- 18 RF 409 0.04 Bad
Tommy Joseph AAA 22 C 1723 0.02 Bad
Mitch Gueller A- 20 RHP 148.9 0.02 Bad
Austin Wright AA 24 LHP 359.4 -0.03 Terrible
Luis Encarnacion Rk 16 1B 154 -0.05 Terrible
Cord Sandberg A- 19 RF 480 -0.06 Terrible
Lewis Alezones Rk 18 RHP 54.7 -0.12 Terrible
Malquin Canelo A+ 19 SS 648 -0.13 Terrible
Trey Williams Rk 20 1B 286 -0.13 Terrible
Andrew Knapp A+ 22 C 651 -0.13 Terrible
Ethan Martin MLB 25 RHP 632.4 -0.13 Terrible
Deivi Grullon A+ 18 C 422 -0.14 Terrible
Jiwan James Rk 25 CF 32.7 -0.14 Terrible
Aaron Brown A 22 CF 252 -0.14 Terrible
Jake Sweaney Rk 19 LF 145 -0.15 Terrible
Herlis Rodriguez A+ 20 CF 530 -0.15 Terrible
Yacksel Rios A 21 RHP 196.3 -0.16 Terrible
Andrew Pullin A 20 2B 923 -0.18 Terrible
Cameron Perkins AAA 23 LF 1239 -0.18 Terrible
Gabriel Lino A+ 21 C 989 -0.20 Terrible
William Carmona A+ 23 1B 807 -0.20 Terrible
Willians Astudillo A 22 1B 838 -0.21 Terrible
Larry Greene A 21 LF 989 -0.21 Terrible
Jiwan James AA 25 RHP 1957 -0.22 Terrible
Mitch Walding A 21 3B 1175 -0.23 Terrible
Carlos Tocci A 18 CF 1104 -0.23 Terrible
Sebastian Valle AAA 23 C 2679 -0.25 Terrible
Phillippe Aumont MLB 25 RHP 417.4 -0.28 Terrible
Cameron Rupp MLB 25 C 1555 -0.36 Terrible
Ken Giles MLB 23 RHP 141.1 -0.45 Terrible
Kyle Simon AAA 23 RHP 261.3 -0.52 Terrible
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