2015 JAVIER New York Mets 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Noah Syndergaard AAA 21 RHP 413.4 4.96 Elite
Dilson Herrera MLB 20 2B 1606 3.94 Elite
Matt Harvey MLB 25 RHP 245.7 2.82 Good
Zack Wheeler MLB 24 RHP 391.4 2.53 Good
Rafael Montero MLB 23 RHP 434.4 2.14 Good
Jeurys Familia MLB 24 RHP 576.7 1.85 Average
Jenrry Mejia MLB 24 RHP 398 1.71 Average
Cory Vaughn AAA 25 RF 2196 1.67 Good
Cory Mazzoni AAA 24 RHP 300.4 1.53 Average
Tyler Pill AAA 24 RHP 270.4 1.51 Average
Steven Matz AA 23 LHP 275.9 1.43 Good
Logan Verrett AAA 24 RHP 411.4 1.37 Average
Daniel Muno AAA 25 2B 1615 1.36 Average
Michael Fulmer AA 21 RHP 258.2 1.32 Good
Matthew Bowman AAA 23 RHP 290.9 1.15 Average
Luis Mateo AA 24 RHP 158.3 0.89 Average
Cesar Puello AAA 23 LF 2341 0.88 Average
Robert Whalen A 20 RHP 143 0.76 Good
Brandon Nimmo AA 21 CF 1403 0.74 Average
Juan Lagares MLB 25 CF 2627 0.60 Bad
Marcos Molina A- 19 RHP 184.9 0.59 Good
Vicente Lupo Rk 20 LF 717 0.59 Good
Travis Taijeron AA 25 RF 1554 0.58 Average
John Gant A 21 RHP 262.6 0.55 Average
Luis Cessa AA 22 RHP 374.4 0.54 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Matthew Bowman AAA 23 RHP 290.9 1.15 Average
Rainy Lara AA 23 RHP 330.7 0.51 Average
Dustin Lawley AAA 25 3B 1834 0.50 Bad
Jack Leathersich AAA 23 LHP 197.3 0.42 Bad
Matthew Reynolds AAA 23 SS 1213 0.41 Bad
Gabriel Ynoa AA 21 RHP 416.7 0.37 Bad
Robert Gsellman A+ 20 RHP 281 0.37 Average
Casey Meisner A- 19 RHP 97.6 0.36 Average
Ivan Wilson Rk 19 CF 395 0.34 Average
Travis d’Arnaud MLB 25 C 2218 0.34 Bad
Chris Flexen A 19 RHP 170 0.28 Average
Champ Stuart A 21 CF 518 0.23 Average
Miller Diaz A 22 RHP 224.1 0.22 Bad
Darrell Ceciliani AA 24 CF 1958 0.21 Bad
Domingo Tapia A+ 22 RHP 422 0.15 Bad
Amed Rosario A 18 SS 547 0.13 Bad
Kevin Plawecki AAA 23 C 1192 0.13 Bad
Jayce Boyd AA 23 1B 1234 0.12 Bad
Jhoan Urena A- 19 3B 774 0.09 Bad
Michael Conforto A- 21 LF 186 0.04 Bad
Matthew Koch A+ 23 RHP 225.9 0.02 Bad
Hansel Robles AA 23 RHP 315.8 -0.01 Terrible
Andrew Church Rk 19 RHP 87.7 -0.01 Terrible
Gavin Cecchini AA 20 SS 964 -0.01 Terrible
Wuilmer Becerra Rk 19 RF 473 -0.06 Terrible
Aderlin Rodriguez A+ 22 1B 2071 -0.06 Terrible
Akeel Morris A 21 RHP 216.3 -0.07 Terrible
Blake Taylor Rk 18 LHP 62 -0.07 Terrible
Patrick Biondi A 23 CF 700 -0.08 Terrible
Jared King A+ 22 LF 606 -0.12 Terrible
Tomas Nido A- 20 C 468 -0.14 Terrible
Dominic Smith A 19 1B 724 -0.14 Terrible
L.J. Mazzilli AAA 23 2B 865 -0.14 Terrible
Wilfredo Tovar MLB 22 SS 2535 -0.17 Terrible
Bret Mitchell A+ 25 RHP 183.1 -0.17 Terrible
Phillip Evans A+ 21 SS 1195 -0.20 Terrible
Erik Goeddel MLB 25 RHP 384.7 -0.21 Terrible
Wilmer Flores MLB 22 SS 3237 -0.25 Terrible
Camden Maron AA 23 C 1512 -0.33 Terrible
Juan Centeno MLB 24 C 1423 -0.68 Terrible
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