2015 JAVIER Minnesota Twins 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Miguel Sano AA 21 3B 1526 4.35 Elite
Aaron Hicks MLB 24 CF 2454 3.44 Good
Byron Buxton AA 20 CF 900 2.94 Elite
Eddie Rosario AA 22 CF 1874 2.34 Elite
Alex Meyer AAA 24 RHP 337.6 2.18 Good
Oswaldo Arcia MLB 23 RF 1808 2.17 Good
Jose Berrios AAA 20 RHP 274.4 2.17 Good
Trevor May MLB 24 RHP 775.3 1.90 Average
Jorge Polanco MLB 20 SS 1628 1.81 Average
Sean Gilmartin AAA 24 LHP 431 1.64 Good
Josmil Pinto MLB 25 C 2637 1.16 Average
Max Kepler A+ 21 CF 1160 1.11 Good
Lewis Thorpe A 18 LHP 115.7 0.99 Good
Nate Roberts A+ 25 LF 862 0.96 Good
Daniel Ortiz AAA 24 LF 2443 0.85 Average
Adonis Pacheco Rk 22 RF 616 0.74 Good
Taylor Rogers AA 23 LHP 349 0.67 Average
Jason Wheeler AAA 23 LHP 458.3 0.67 Average
Felix Jorge A 20 RHP 227.7 0.59 Average
Mitch Garver A 23 C 729 0.53 Average
Tom Stuifbergen AAA 25 RHP 283.4 0.45 Bad
Daniel Santana MLB 23 SS 2353 0.44 Bad
Kohl Stewart A 19 RHP 107 0.38 Average
Kennys Vargas MLB 23 1B 1592 0.35 Bad
Jason Kanzler A+ 23 CF 619 0.33 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Stephen Gonsalves A 19 LHP 94 0.83 Good
Nicholas Burdi A+ 21 RHP 20.3 0.47 Average
Daniel Santana MLB 23 SS 2353 0.44 Bad
Amaurys Minier Rk 18 LF 324 0.30 Average
Stuart Turner AA 22 C 510 0.21 Bad
Randy Rosario A 20 LHP 129.7 0.20 Bad
Adam Walker A+ 22 RF 1362 0.19 Bad
Logan Darnell MLB 25 LHP 609.7 0.16 Bad
Tyler Duffey AAA 23 RHP 289.6 0.12 Bad
Levi Michael AA 23 2B 1168 0.08 Bad
Aaron Slegers A+ 21 RHP 151.3 0.07 Bad
JaDamion Williams A+ 23 LF 1527 0.06 Bad
Niko Goodrum A+ 22 3B 1586 0.05 Bad
Michael Cederoth Rk 21 RHP 45.7 0.04 Bad
Fernando Romero A 19 RHP 88 0.04 Bad
Alexis Tapia Rk 18 RHP 45 0.03 Bad
Brian Navarreto Rk 19 C 274 0.02 Bad
Yorman Landa A 20 RHP 145.3 0.00 Bad
Logan Wade A 22 2B 587 0.00 Terrible
Travis Harrison A+ 21 LF 1327 -0.01 Terrible
D.J. Baxendale AA 23 RHP 259 -0.01 Terrible
Zach Larson A 20 RF 467 -0.02 Terrible
Brett Lee A+ 23 LHP 266 -0.04 Terrible
Miguel Gonzalez Rk 19 RHP 83.7 -0.05 Terrible
Dalton Hicks A+ 24 1B 1203 -0.06 Terrible
J.T. Chargois Rk 23 RHP 16 -0.08 Terrible
Adrian Salcedo AA 23 RHP 517.2 -0.10 Terrible
Jose Abreu Rk 21 RHP 109.7 -0.10 Terrible
Ryan Eades A 22 RHP 148.7 -0.12 Terrible
Nick Gordon Rk 18 SS 256 -0.12 Terrible
Tyler Jones A+ 24 RHP 196.7 -0.12 Terrible
Tyler Grimes A+ 23 2B 1203 -0.12 Terrible
Jacob Reed A 21 RHP 31 -0.12 Terrible
Cameron Booser Rk 22 LHP 35 -0.13 Terrible
Zachary Jones A+ 23 RHP 79 -0.14 Terrible
Engelb Vielma A 20 SS 818 -0.15 Terrible
Ryan Walker A 22 2B 475 -0.16 Terrible
Josue Montanez A 22 LHP 199.4 -0.16 Terrible
Joshua Burris A 22 RHP 101.6 -0.19 Terrible
Luke Bard A+ 23 RHP 19.3 -0.19 Terrible
Brian Gilbert A+ 21 RHP 78.7 -0.19 Terrible
Alex Wimmers AA 25 RHP 161.4 -0.22 Terrible
Michael Tonkin MLB 24 RHP 403.7 -0.23 Terrible
Mason Melotakis AA 23 LHP 198 -0.26 Terrible
Madison Boer AA 24 RHP 260.7 -0.27 Terrible
Matthew Summers AA 24 RHP 364.6 -0.29 Terrible
A.J. Achter MLB 25 RHP 320.4 -0.34 Terrible
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