2015 JAVIER Miami Marlins 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Giancarlo Stanton MLB 24 RF 1394 9.40 Elite
Jose Fernandez MLB 21 RHP 138.3 5.24 Elite
Christian Yelich MLB 22 CF 1308 4.72 Elite
Andrew Heaney MLB 23 LHP 259.8 3.26 Good
Jacob Turner MLB 23 RHP 414.3 3.14 Good
Brad Hand MLB 24 LHP 584.1 2.26 Good
Adam Conley AAA 24 LHP 333 1.87 Good
Brian Flynn MLB 24 LHP 520.4 1.85 Average
Mark Canha AAA 25 LF 2054 1.76 Good
Jacob Realmuto MLB 23 C 1766 1.70 Average
Alex Sanabia MLB 25 RHP 422.8 1.60 Average
Henderson Alvarez MLB 24 RHP 404.9 1.46 Average
Anthony DeSclafani MLB 24 RHP 354.3 1.46 Average
Marcell Ozuna MLB 23 CF 1980 1.30 Average
Nathan Eovaldi MLB 24 RHP 364 1.00 Average
Austin Barnes AA 24 2B 1855 0.80 Average
Justin Nicolino AA 22 LHP 497.6 0.79 Average
Angel Morales AA 24 CF 2389 0.71 Average
Trevor Williams AA 22 RHP 178 0.58 Average
Austin Brice A+ 22 RHP 407 0.55 Average
Domingo German A 21 RHP 247.3 0.51 Average
Derek Dietrich MLB 24 2B 1667 0.48 Bad
Jarlin Garcia A 21 LHP 295.4 0.45 Average
Jose Urena AA 22 RHP 522.7 0.37 Bad
Ryan Newell A 23 RHP 218.7 0.25 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Kolby Copeland A- 20 CF 262 0.37 Average
Austin Dean A 20 LF 888 0.20 Bad
Justin Twine Rk 18 SS 179 0.18 Average
Jesus Solorzano A+ 23 RF 1292 0.15 Bad
Brian Anderson A 21 2B 257 0.11 Bad
Tyler Kolek Rk 18 RHP 22 0.05 Bad
Mason Hope A 22 RHP 196.9 0.03 Bad
Michael Mader A- 20 LHP 45 0.03 Bad
Isael Soto Rk 17 RF 199 -0.08 Terrible
Carlos Lopez A 24 RF 829 -0.11 Terrible
Avery Romero A+ 21 2B 946 -0.11 Terrible
K.J. Woods A- 18 LF 339 -0.13 Terrible
John Norwood A- 21 CF 81 -0.15 Terrible
Blake Anderson Rk 18 C 94 -0.15 Terrible
Colby Suggs A+ 22 RHP 85.6 -0.18 Terrible
Brent Keys AA 23 RF 1889 -0.19 Terrible
Nick Wittgren AA 23 RHP 155 -0.22 Terrible
Zack Cox AAA 25 3B 1683 -0.44 Terrible
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