2015 JAVIER Kansas City Royals 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Eric Hosmer MLB 24 1B 1153 3.85 Elite
Danny Duffy MLB 25 LHP 350.1 3.43 Good
Yordano Ventura MLB 23 RHP 381 3.36 Good
Christian Binford AAA 21 RHP 315.7 2.62 Good
Liam Hendriks MLB 25 RHP 580.3 2.39 Good
John Lamb AAA 23 LHP 511.3 2.19 Good
Kyle Zimmer AA 22 RHP 152.8 1.74 Good
Jason Adam AAA 22 RHP 526.9 1.54 Average
Brett Eibner AAA 25 CF 1676 1.44 Average
Lane Adams MLB 24 CF 2298 1.25 Average
Aaron Brooks MLB 24 RHP 532.4 1.11 Average
Sam Selman AAA 23 LHP 282.6 1.04 Average
Mike Moustakas MLB 25 3B 1910 0.77 Average
Miguel Almonte A+ 21 RHP 329.7 0.77 Good
Sean Manaea A+ 22 LHP 121.7 0.75 Good
Dominique Taylor A 21 LF 642 0.63 Good
Timothy Melville AA 24 RHP 516.9 0.60 Average
J.C. Sulbaran AA 24 RHP 647.3 0.57 Average
Jonathan Dziedzic A+ 23 LHP 175.3 0.53 Average
Whit Merrifield AAA 25 LF 2190 0.51 Bad
Sugar Ray Marimon AAA 25 RHP 653.9 0.36 Bad
Greg Billo AA 23 RHP 413.3 0.35 Bad
Bubba Starling A+ 21 CF 1281 0.35 Average
Raul A. Mondesi A+ 18 SS 1240 0.33 Average
Wander Franco Rk 19 3B 636 0.33 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Scott Blewett Rk 18 RHP 28 0.42 Good
Pedro Fernandez A 20 RHP 147.3 0.25 Average
Brian Fletcher AAA 25 LF 1509 0.25 Bad
Terrance Gore MLB 23 LF 1245 0.22 Bad
Ryan O’Hearn Rk 20 1B 293 0.22 Average
Chase Vallot Rk 17 C 222 0.21 Average
Marten Gasparini Rk 17 SS 84 0.18 Average
Jorge Bonifacio AA 21 RF 1732 0.10 Bad
Hunter Dozier AA 22 3B 851 0.08 Bad
Bryan Brickhouse A 22 RHP 140.7 0.08 Bad
Foster Griffin Rk 18 LHP 28 0.03 Bad
Glenn Sparkman A+ 22 RHP 157.7 -0.02 Terrible
Cheslor Cuthbert AAA 21 3B 2012 -0.03 Terrible
Orlando Calixte AA 22 SS 1797 -0.08 Terrible
Cody Reed A 21 LHP 113.7 -0.10 Terrible
Elier Hernandez A 19 RF 1032 -0.11 Terrible
Cameron Gallagher A+ 21 C 875 -0.13 Terrible
Samir Duenez A 18 1B 497 -0.15 Terrible
Alexis Rivera A 20 LF 676 -0.18 Terrible
Jack Lopez A+ 21 2B 1282 -0.19 Terrible
Zane Evans A+ 22 DH 578 -0.20 Terrible
Daniel Rockett A+ 23 RF 631 -0.21 Terrible
Brandon Finnegan MLB 21 LHP 27 -0.21 Terrible
Humberto Arteaga A 20 SS 1571 -0.23 Terrible
Christian Colon MLB 25 2B 2176 -0.28 Terrible
Michael Mariot MLB 25 RHP 358.7 -0.35 Terrible
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