2015 JAVIER Houston Astros 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
George Springer MLB 24 RF 1272 4.54 Elite
Jose Altuve MLB 24 2B 1642 4.43 Elite
Jonathan Singleton MLB 22 1B 2260 3.17 Good
Andrew Aplin AAA 23 CF 1452 2.64 Good
Alex White MLB 25 RHP 251.4 2.63 Good
Jake Marisnick MLB 23 CF 2051 2.60 Good
Brett Oberholtzer MLB 24 LHP 433 2.57 Good
Domingo Santana MLB 21 LF 2536 2.38 Good
Brett Phillips A+ 20 RF 947 1.99 Elite
Jarred Cosart MLB 24 RHP 447.6 1.96 Average
Brandon Meredith AA 24 LF 1291 1.81 Good
Luis Cruz AAA 23 LHP 683.7 1.75 Good
Anthony Kemp AA 22 2B 955 1.54 Good
Mike Foltynewicz MLB 22 RHP 518 1.38 Average
Jose Cisnero MLB 25 RHP 518.1 1.36 Average
Teoscar Hernandez AA 21 CF 1609 1.28 Good
Kyle Smith AA 21 RHP 322.9 1.28 Good
Chris Epps AA 25 LF 1115 1.23 Good
Carlos Correa A+ 19 SS 1016 1.23 Elite
Preston Tucker AAA 23 LF 1388 1.19 Average
Ruben Sosa AAA 23 LF 999 1.09 Average
Mark Appel AA 22 RHP 121.3 1.06 Good
Delino DeShields AA 21 CF 2302 1.04 Good
Conrad Gregor AA 22 1B 849 1.04 Good
Asher Wojciechowski AAA 25 RHP 503.3 0.98 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Leonardo Heras AA 24 LF 423 1.46 Good
Ronald Torreyes AAA 21 2B 1840 0.75 Average
Michael Feliz A 21 RHP 286.3 0.68 Good
Aaron West AA 24 RHP 204.7 0.66 Average
Derek Fisher A- 20 LF 176 0.58 Good
Brady Rodgers AAA 23 RHP 311 0.55 Bad
Jake Buchanan MLB 24 RHP 615.6 0.54 Bad
Rio Ruiz A+ 20 3B 1226 0.52 Average
Andrew Reed A 21 1B 285 0.48 Average
Vincent Velasquez A+ 22 RHP 234.4 0.48 Average
Lance McCullers A+ 20 RHP 227.7 0.40 Average
Nolan Fontana AA 23 2B 1026 0.30 Bad
Adrian Houser A 21 RHP 264.7 0.21 Bad
Josh Hader AA 20 LHP 259.2 0.14 Bad
Andrew Thurman A 22 RHP 155 0.08 Bad
Jonathan Davis A 21 3B 302 0.05 Bad
Kent Emanuel A+ 22 LHP 133 0.05 Bad
Joe Musgrove A- 21 RHP 151.4 -0.05 Terrible
Christopher Lee A 21 LHP 219.7 -0.09 Terrible
Jandel Gustave A 21 RHP 170 -0.09 Terrible
Colin Moran AA 21 3B 690 -0.10 Terrible
Tyler Heineman AA 23 C 967 -0.13 Terrible
Danry Vasquez A+ 20 RF 1673 -0.16 Terrible
Max Stassi MLB 23 C 1767 -0.20 Terrible
Gonzalo Sanudo AA 22 RHP 171.4 -0.22 Terrible
Reymin Guduan AAA 22 LHP 131.3 -0.22 Terrible
M.P. Cokinos AA 24 1B 851 -0.24 Terrible
Jonathan Meyer AAA 23 3B 2888 -0.61 Terrible
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