2015 JAVIER Detroit Tigers 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Tyler Collins MLB 24 LF 1781 3.34 Good
Buck Farmer MLB 23 RHP 155 2.96 Good
Casey Crosby MLB 25 LHP 436.8 2.70 Good
Rick Porcello MLB 25 RHP 153 2.32 Good
Eugenio Suarez MLB 22 SS 1723 2.25 Good
Kyle Lobstein MLB 24 LHP 811.2 2.18 Good
Robbie Ray MLB 22 LHP 438 2.15 Good
Devon Travis AA 23 2B 1124 1.89 Elite
Kyle Ryan MLB 22 LHP 651.4 1.35 Average
Steven Moya MLB 22 RF 1676 0.82 Average
Kevin Ziomek A 22 LHP 131 0.81 Good
Drew VerHagen MLB 23 RHP 268.6 0.74 Bad
Daniel Fields AAA 23 CF 2178 0.63 Average
Jeff Ferrell AA 23 RHP 441.2 0.44 Average
Steven Fuentes A- 19 3B 646 0.35 Average
Anthony Castro Rk 19 RHP 112.6 0.24 Average
Wynton Bernard A+ 23 RF 850 0.22 Bad
Javier Azcona A 22 2B 545 0.21 Bad
Nick Castellanos MLB 22 3B 1770 0.20 Bad
Samuel Crafort A- 20 RF 614 0.20 Average
Ian Krol MLB 23 LHP 282.4 0.15 Bad
Kevin Eichhorn A+ 24 RHP 460.5 0.14 Bad
Austin Kubitza A+ 22 RHP 156.3 0.14 Bad
Endrys Briceno A+ 22 RHP 249.4 0.14 Bad
Chase Edwards A+ 20 RHP 136 0.13 Bad

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Derek Hill A- 18 CF 197 0.15 Bad
Wilsen Palacios AA 24 RHP 620.9 0.13 Bad
Chad Green A+ 23 RHP 150.6 0.09 Bad
Thomas Collier AA 24 RHP 363.7 0.04 Bad
Jonathon Crawford A 22 RHP 142 0.02 Bad
Austin Schotts A+ 20 CF 891 0.01 Bad
Joseph Pankake A- 21 3B 267 0.01 Bad
Domingo Leyba A 18 2B 278 0.00 Terrible
Jeff Thompson A 22 RHP 53 -0.02 Terrible
Jeff Holm A+ 25 1B 1417 -0.05 Terrible
Franklin Navarro A- 19 C 553 -0.06 Terrible
Connor Harrell A+ 23 CF 816 -0.07 Terrible
Hernan Perez MLB 23 SS 3105 -0.09 Terrible
Zac Reininger A 21 RHP 83.7 -0.10 Terrible
Elys Escobar FRk 17 C 130 -0.10 Terrible
Jade Todd A+ 24 LHP 309.2 -0.12 Terrible
Grayson Greiner A 21 C 104 -0.14 Terrible
Francisco Martinez AA 23 3B 2572 -0.14 Terrible
Kasey Coffman A- 22 LF 443 -0.14 Terrible
Calvin Drummond A+ 24 RHP 87.6 -0.16 Terrible
Ross Kivett A 22 CF 287 -0.16 Terrible
Warwick Saupold AA 24 RHP 358 -0.21 Terrible
Javier Betancourt A 19 2B 956 -0.21 Terrible
Aaron Westlake AA 25 1B 1527 -0.22 Terrible
Harold Castro A+ 20 2B 1036 -0.22 Terrible
Ben Verlander A 22 RF 673 -0.22 Terrible
William Clinard AA 24 RHP 99.9 -0.24 Terrible
Dean Green AA 25 DH 1446 -0.25 Terrible
Josh Turley AA 23 LHP 259 -0.26 Terrible
Jose Valdez AA 24 RHP 148 -0.30 Terrible
Angel Nesbitt AA 23 RHP 228.9 -0.33 Terrible
Jose Ortega MLB 25 RHP 377.4 -0.58 Terrible
James McCann MLB 24 C 1407 -0.64 Terrible
Melvin Mercedes MLB 23 RHP 297.4 -0.67 Terrible
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