2015 JAVIER Colorado Rockies 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Corey Dickerson MLB 25 CF 1662 5.81 Elite
Jordan Lyles MLB 23 RHP 461.8 3.86 Elite
Chad Bettis MLB 25 RHP 355 2.32 Good
Tyler Matzek MLB 23 LHP 537.6 2.24 Good
Josh Rutledge MLB 25 SS 1109 2.20 Good
Trevor Story AA 21 SS 1775 1.63 Good
Jonathan Gray AA 22 RHP 161.6 1.41 Good
Daniel Winkler AA 24 RHP 429.6 1.36 Good
Taylor Featherston AA 24 2B 1702 1.31 Good
Tyler Chatwood MLB 24 RHP 386.9 1.25 Average
David Dahl A+ 20 CF 895 0.94 Good
Eddie Butler MLB 23 RHP 334.7 0.84 Average
Jayson Aquino AA 21 LHP 392 0.79 Average
David Kandilas AAA 23 RF 1606 0.78 Average
Kyle Parker MLB 24 RF 2049 0.65 Bad
Pedro Hernandez MLB 25 LHP 371.3 0.62 Bad
Ryan McMahon A 19 3B 803 0.60 Good
Tyler Anderson AA 24 LHP 328.3 0.50 Average
Trevor Oakes A+ 23 RHP 193 0.45 Average
Nolan Arenado MLB 23 3B 1876 0.44 Bad
Will Swanner AA 22 C 1495 0.38 Average
Mike Benjamin A 22 2B 577 0.35 Average
Alex Balog A 21 RHP 180.3 0.30 Average
Patrick Valaika A+ 21 SS 684 0.30 Average
Ryan Carpenter A+ 23 LHP 368.8 0.28 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Forrest Wall Rk 18 2B 188 1.50 Elite
Kevin Padlo Rk 17 3B 198 1.17 Elite
Kyle Freeland A 21 LHP 39 0.54 Average
Ryan Castellani A- 18 RHP 37 0.26 Average
Dom Nunez Rk 19 C 415 0.19 Average
Erick Julio FRk 17 RHP 66 0.17 Average
Correlle Prime A 20 1B 938 0.16 Bad
Antonio Senzatela A 19 RHP 249.7 0.15 Bad
Raimel Tapia A 20 LF 1379 0.13 Bad
Joel Payamps A- 20 RHP 187 0.11 Bad
Jose Briceno A 21 C 825 0.09 Bad
Max White A 20 LF 872 0.09 Bad
Ryan Warner A- 20 RHP 174 0.07 Bad
Tom Murphy AA 23 C 760 0.06 Bad
Ryan Casteel AA 23 1B 1634 0.05 Bad
Rosell Herrera A+ 21 SS 1571 -0.04 Terrible
Jordan Patterson A 22 RF 781 -0.05 Terrible
Julian Yan A 22 RHP 844 -0.05 Terrible
Sam Moll A- 22 LHP 43 -0.09 Terrible
Terry McClure Rk 18 LF 326 -0.10 Terrible
Wilfredo Rodriguez A 20 C 665 -0.13 Terrible
Carlos Estevez A 21 RHP 181 -0.13 Terrible
Carlos Herrera FRk 17 SS 160 -0.14 Terrible
Julian Yan FRk 22 RF 16 -0.15 Terrible
Matthew Carasiti A 22 RHP 237 -0.17 Terrible
Emerson Jimenez A 19 SS 735 -0.20 Terrible
Scott Oberg AA 24 RHP 107.6 -0.27 Terrible
Cristhian Adames MLB 22 SS 2290 -0.61 Terrible
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