2015 JAVIER Chicago White Sox 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Marcus Semien MLB 23 SS 1741 6.60 Elite
Adam Eaton MLB 25 CF 1576 4.61 Elite
Andy Wilkins MLB 25 1B 2362 1.86 Average
Trayce Thompson AAA 23 CF 2723 1.85 Good
Micah Johnson AAA 23 2B 1391 1.62 Good
Tyler Saladino AAA 24 SS 2100 1.52 Average
Francellis Montas AA 21 RHP 249.1 1.27 Good
Jared Mitchell AAA 25 CF 2100 1.25 Average
Erik Johnson MLB 24 RHP 342 1.24 Average
Jacob May A+ 22 CF 757 0.88 Good
Matt Davidson MLB 23 3B 3079 0.68 Bad
Courtney Hawkins A+ 20 LF 1189 0.56 Average
Joshua Richmond AAA 25 LF 1687 0.53 Bad
Tim Anderson AA 21 SS 663 0.49 Average
Rangel Ravelo AA 22 1B 1731 0.46 Average
Jose Quintana MLB 25 LHP 249.3 0.39 Bad
Tony Bucciferro AA 24 RHP 263 0.38 Average
Myles Jaye AA 22 RHP 457 0.25 Bad
James Dykstra A+ 23 RHP 157.6 0.23 Average
Jason Coats AA 24 RF 1118 0.21 Bad
Zachary Fisher A 22 C 612 0.16 Bad
David Haselden Rk 24 RHP 107.7 0.16 Average
Chris Freudenberg A 21 LHP 105.6 0.15 Bad
Chris Beck AAA 23 RHP 337 0.14 Bad
Bobby Doran AAA 25 RHP 559.6 0.12 Bad

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Carlos Rodon AAA 21 LHP 24.7 1.28 Average
Spencer Adams Rk 18 RHP 41.7 1.20 Elite
Chris Sale MLB 25 LHP 10.3 1.15 Average
Adam Engel A+ 22 CF 753 0.10 Bad
Tyler Danish A+ 19 RHP 159.7 0.08 Bad
Trey Michalczewski A+ 19 3B 801 0.07 Bad
Micker Adolfo Rk 17 RF 198 0.06 Bad
Joey DeMichele AA 23 2B 1452 0.03 Bad
Brandon Brennan A+ 22 RHP 186.7 0.03 Bad
Scott Snodgress MLB 24 LHP 483 0.01 Bad
Keenyn Walker AA 23 CF 1673 -0.01 Terrible
Braulio Ortiz AA 22 RHP 218.7 -0.05 Terrible
Jake Peter A+ 21 2B 265 -0.09 Terrible
Kyle Hansen AA 23 RHP 161.1 -0.09 Terrible
Matt Ball Rk 19 RHP 79.3 -0.10 Terrible
Adam Lopez A+ 24 RHP 125.3 -0.11 Terrible
Nolan Sanburn A+ 22 RHP 120 -0.12 Terrible
Todd Kibby A 22 LHP 194.3 -0.13 Terrible
Sammy Ayala Rk 19 C 211 -0.15 Terrible
Andrew Mitchell A 22 RHP 121.3 -0.16 Terrible
Keon Barnum A+ 21 1B 805 -0.17 Terrible
Cleuluis Rondon A+ 20 SS 1273 -0.18 Terrible
Jefferson Olacio AA 20 LHP 340.8 -0.19 Terrible
Leury Garcia MLB 23 3B 2004 -0.26 Terrible
Nestor Molina AAA 25 RHP 519.9 -0.42 Terrible
Chris Bassitt MLB 25 RHP 318.1 -0.44 Terrible
Carlos Sanchez MLB 22 2B 1879 -0.47 Terrible
Daniel Webb MLB 24 RHP 260.3 -0.55 Terrible
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