2015 JAVIER Boston Red Sox 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Mookie Betts MLB 21 2B 1311 8.30 Elite
Jackie Bradley MLB 24 CF 1058 3.70 Good
Matt Barnes MLB 24 RHP 360.7 3.01 Good
Brandon Workman MLB 25 RHP 432 2.73 Good
Travis Shaw AAA 24 1B 1889 2.69 Good
Edwin Escobar MLB 22 LHP 557.7 2.68 Good
Henry Owens AAA 21 LHP 395.7 2.56 Good
Manuel Margot A+ 19 CF 995 2.54 Elite
Garin Cecchini MLB 23 3B 1674 2.43 Good
Xander Bogaerts MLB 21 SS 1343 1.94 Average
Allen Webster MLB 24 RHP 721 1.92 Average
Anthony Ranaudo MLB 24 RHP 442.7 1.78 Average
Sean Coyle AA 22 2B 1622 1.48 Good
Eduardo Rodriguez AA 21 LHP 420.7 1.37 Good
Wendell Rijo A 18 2B 690 1.25 Elite
Carlos Asuaje A+ 22 3B 763 1.24 Elite
Blake Swihart AAA 22 C 1257 1.19 Average
Brian Johnson AA 23 LHP 234.4 1.01 Good
Daniel McGrath A 19 LHP 150.6 0.72 Good
Miguel Pena AA 23 LHP 279 0.68 Average
Will Middlebrooks MLB 25 3B 1902 0.65 Bad
Luis Diaz AA 22 RHP 412 0.64 Average
Bryce Brentz MLB 25 RF 1981 0.59 Bad
Cody Kukuk A+ 21 LHP 219.7 0.57 Average
Mike Augliera AA 24 RHP 327 0.45 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Rafael Devers Rk 17 3B 302 0.77 Elite
Michael Chavis Rk 18 SS 150 0.72 Good
Victor Acosta Rk 18 2B 170 0.68 Good
Michael Kopech Rk 18 RHP 13.7 0.40 Average
Teddy Stankiewicz A 20 RHP 160 0.39 Average
Henry Ramos AA 22 RF 1763 0.39 Average
Keury De La Cruz AA 22 LF 1694 0.39 Average
Jamie Callahan A 19 RHP 177.1 0.32 Average
Deven Marrero AAA 23 SS 1254 0.30 Bad
Corey Littrell A+ 22 LHP 162.7 0.28 Average
Patrick Light A+ 23 RHP 196.9 0.25 Average
Dedgar Jimenez Rk 18 LHP 49.3 0.24 Average
Justin Haley AA 23 RHP 288.4 0.20 Bad
Christian Vazquez MLB 23 C 2022 0.19 Bad
Jason Garcia A 21 RHP 293.4 0.18 Bad
Sam Travis A 20 1B 289 0.13 Bad
Nick Longhi A- 18 LF 171 0.13 Bad
Keith Couch AAA 24 RHP 575.6 0.10 Bad
Javier Guerra Rk 18 SS 207 0.09 Bad
Ty Buttrey A 21 RHP 128.7 0.06 Bad
Heiker Meneses AAA 22 SS 2068 0.05 Bad
Trey Ball A 20 LHP 107 0.05 Bad
Dioscar Romero A- 19 RHP 98.3 -0.02 Terrible
Jose Almonte Rk 18 RHP 47.7 -0.02 Terrible
Simon Mercedes A+ 22 RHP 163.3 -0.07 Terrible
Kyle Martin A+ 23 RHP 116.7 -0.07 Terrible
Heri Quevedo A+ 24 RHP 174 -0.08 Terrible
Sergio Gomez A 20 RHP 273.9 -0.09 Terrible
Jose Vinicio A+ 20 SS 1229 -0.09 Terrible
Bryan Hudson A- 19 LF 384 -0.11 Terrible
Heath Hembree MLB 25 RHP 208.7 -0.12 Terrible
Jon Denney Rk 19 C 96 -0.15 Terrible
Jonathan Aro A+ 23 RHP 227.7 -0.15 Terrible
Joe Gunkel A+ 22 RHP 124.6 -0.15 Terrible
Myles Smith A 22 RHP 114.4 -0.16 Terrible
Matthew Price A+ 24 RHP 55.6 -0.17 Terrible
Kyle Stroup A+ 24 RHP 230.7 -0.18 Terrible
Tzu-Wei Lin A 20 SS 858 -0.19 Terrible
David Chester AA 25 1B 1233 -0.19 Terrible
Drake Britton MLB 25 LHP 509.4 -0.23 Terrible
Noe Ramirez AA 24 RHP 227.7 -0.24 Terrible
Kolbrin Vitek AA 25 LF 1260 -0.24 Terrible
Miguel Celestino AAA 24 RHP 399.4 -0.41 Terrible
Advertisements


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s