2015 JAVIER Boston Red Sox 25 and under Prospect List
Posted: November 5, 2014 Filed under: JAVIER, Prospects Leave a commentA pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.
In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.
View other teams 25 and under list here.
Top 25
| Name | High Level | 2014 Age | Pos | IP | PA | JAVIER | JAVIER Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts | MLB | 21 | 2B | 1311 | 8.30 | Elite | |
| Jackie Bradley | MLB | 24 | CF | 1058 | 3.70 | Good | |
| Matt Barnes | MLB | 24 | RHP | 360.7 | 3.01 | Good | |
| Brandon Workman | MLB | 25 | RHP | 432 | 2.73 | Good | |
| Travis Shaw | AAA | 24 | 1B | 1889 | 2.69 | Good | |
| Edwin Escobar | MLB | 22 | LHP | 557.7 | 2.68 | Good | |
| Henry Owens | AAA | 21 | LHP | 395.7 | 2.56 | Good | |
| Manuel Margot | A+ | 19 | CF | 995 | 2.54 | Elite | |
| Garin Cecchini | MLB | 23 | 3B | 1674 | 2.43 | Good | |
| Xander Bogaerts | MLB | 21 | SS | 1343 | 1.94 | Average | |
| Allen Webster | MLB | 24 | RHP | 721 | 1.92 | Average | |
| Anthony Ranaudo | MLB | 24 | RHP | 442.7 | 1.78 | Average | |
| Sean Coyle | AA | 22 | 2B | 1622 | 1.48 | Good | |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | AA | 21 | LHP | 420.7 | 1.37 | Good | |
| Wendell Rijo | A | 18 | 2B | 690 | 1.25 | Elite | |
| Carlos Asuaje | A+ | 22 | 3B | 763 | 1.24 | Elite | |
| Blake Swihart | AAA | 22 | C | 1257 | 1.19 | Average | |
| Brian Johnson | AA | 23 | LHP | 234.4 | 1.01 | Good | |
| Daniel McGrath | A | 19 | LHP | 150.6 | 0.72 | Good | |
| Miguel Pena | AA | 23 | LHP | 279 | 0.68 | Average | |
| Will Middlebrooks | MLB | 25 | 3B | 1902 | 0.65 | Bad | |
| Luis Diaz | AA | 22 | RHP | 412 | 0.64 | Average | |
| Bryce Brentz | MLB | 25 | RF | 1981 | 0.59 | Bad | |
| Cody Kukuk | A+ | 21 | LHP | 219.7 | 0.57 | Average | |
| Mike Augliera | AA | 24 | RHP | 327 | 0.45 | Average |
Missing prospects
Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.
| Name | High Level | 2014 Age | Pos | IP | PA | JAVIER | JAVIER Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | Rk | 17 | 3B | 302 | 0.77 | Elite | |
| Michael Chavis | Rk | 18 | SS | 150 | 0.72 | Good | |
| Victor Acosta | Rk | 18 | 2B | 170 | 0.68 | Good | |
| Michael Kopech | Rk | 18 | RHP | 13.7 | 0.40 | Average | |
| Teddy Stankiewicz | A | 20 | RHP | 160 | 0.39 | Average | |
| Henry Ramos | AA | 22 | RF | 1763 | 0.39 | Average | |
| Keury De La Cruz | AA | 22 | LF | 1694 | 0.39 | Average | |
| Jamie Callahan | A | 19 | RHP | 177.1 | 0.32 | Average | |
| Deven Marrero | AAA | 23 | SS | 1254 | 0.30 | Bad | |
| Corey Littrell | A+ | 22 | LHP | 162.7 | 0.28 | Average | |
| Patrick Light | A+ | 23 | RHP | 196.9 | 0.25 | Average | |
| Dedgar Jimenez | Rk | 18 | LHP | 49.3 | 0.24 | Average | |
| Justin Haley | AA | 23 | RHP | 288.4 | 0.20 | Bad | |
| Christian Vazquez | MLB | 23 | C | 2022 | 0.19 | Bad | |
| Jason Garcia | A | 21 | RHP | 293.4 | 0.18 | Bad | |
| Sam Travis | A | 20 | 1B | 289 | 0.13 | Bad | |
| Nick Longhi | A- | 18 | LF | 171 | 0.13 | Bad | |
| Keith Couch | AAA | 24 | RHP | 575.6 | 0.10 | Bad | |
| Javier Guerra | Rk | 18 | SS | 207 | 0.09 | Bad | |
| Ty Buttrey | A | 21 | RHP | 128.7 | 0.06 | Bad | |
| Heiker Meneses | AAA | 22 | SS | 2068 | 0.05 | Bad | |
| Trey Ball | A | 20 | LHP | 107 | 0.05 | Bad | |
| Dioscar Romero | A- | 19 | RHP | 98.3 | -0.02 | Terrible | |
| Jose Almonte | Rk | 18 | RHP | 47.7 | -0.02 | Terrible | |
| Simon Mercedes | A+ | 22 | RHP | 163.3 | -0.07 | Terrible | |
| Kyle Martin | A+ | 23 | RHP | 116.7 | -0.07 | Terrible | |
| Heri Quevedo | A+ | 24 | RHP | 174 | -0.08 | Terrible | |
| Sergio Gomez | A | 20 | RHP | 273.9 | -0.09 | Terrible | |
| Jose Vinicio | A+ | 20 | SS | 1229 | -0.09 | Terrible | |
| Bryan Hudson | A- | 19 | LF | 384 | -0.11 | Terrible | |
| Heath Hembree | MLB | 25 | RHP | 208.7 | -0.12 | Terrible | |
| Jon Denney | Rk | 19 | C | 96 | -0.15 | Terrible | |
| Jonathan Aro | A+ | 23 | RHP | 227.7 | -0.15 | Terrible | |
| Joe Gunkel | A+ | 22 | RHP | 124.6 | -0.15 | Terrible | |
| Myles Smith | A | 22 | RHP | 114.4 | -0.16 | Terrible | |
| Matthew Price | A+ | 24 | RHP | 55.6 | -0.17 | Terrible | |
| Kyle Stroup | A+ | 24 | RHP | 230.7 | -0.18 | Terrible | |
| Tzu-Wei Lin | A | 20 | SS | 858 | -0.19 | Terrible | |
| David Chester | AA | 25 | 1B | 1233 | -0.19 | Terrible | |
| Drake Britton | MLB | 25 | LHP | 509.4 | -0.23 | Terrible | |
| Noe Ramirez | AA | 24 | RHP | 227.7 | -0.24 | Terrible | |
| Kolbrin Vitek | AA | 25 | LF | 1260 | -0.24 | Terrible | |
| Miguel Celestino | AAA | 24 | RHP | 399.4 | -0.41 | Terrible |
