2015 JAVIER Chicago Cubs 25 and under Prospect List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Kris Bryant AAA 22 3B 740 9.43 Elite
Javier Baez MLB 21 SS 1350 4.43 Elite
Jorge Soler MLB 22 RF 622 4.36 Elite
Addison Russell AAA 20 SS 1041 3.84 Elite
Dan Straily MLB 25 RHP 669.4 2.99 Good
Arismendy Alcantara MLB 22 2B 1921 2.95 Good
Neil Ramirez MLB 25 RHP 587.9 2.46 Good
Mike Olt MLB 25 3B 1585 2.34 Good
Starlin Castro MLB 24 SS 1098 2.13 Good
Justin Grimm MLB 25 RHP 323.3 2.12 Good
Barret Loux AAA 25 RHP 316 2.00 Good
Kevin Encarnacion A 22 CF 738 1.87 Elite
Kyle Hendricks MLB 24 RHP 452.4 1.76 Average
C.J. Edwards AA 22 RHP 237 1.59 Good
Anthony Rizzo MLB 24 1B 1913 1.49 Average
Eric Jokisch MLB 24 LHP 647.6 1.42 Average
Ivan Pineyro AA 22 RHP 312.4 1.16 Good
Roberto Caro FRk 20 CF 542 1.15 Elite
Gioskar Amaya AAA 21 2B 1496 1.11 Average
Julio Rodriguez AA 23 RHP 333.1 1.08 Good
Albert Almora AA 20 CF 946 0.98 Average
Dallas Beeler MLB 25 RHP 428.3 0.97 Average
Corey Black AA 22 RHP 284.7 0.97 Average
Jeffrey Baez A 20 RF 1015 0.87 Good
Junior Lake MLB 24 LF 2539 0.80 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Gleyber Torres A- 17 SS 215 1.12 Elite
Kyle Schwarber A+ 21 C 311 0.81 Good
Billy McKinney A+ 19 RF 786 0.76 Good
Rob Zastryzny A+ 22 LHP 134 0.66 Good
Pierce Johnson AA 23 RHP 232.1 0.63 Average
John Andreoli AA 24 LF 1315 0.57 Average
Jen-Ho Tseng A 19 RHP 105 0.57 Average
Dan Vogelbach A+ 21 1B 1438 0.53 Average
Christian Villanueva AAA 23 3B 2308 0.48 Bad
Rubi Silva AA 25 RF 1883 0.31 Bad
Arodys Vizcaino MLB 23 RHP 309.7 0.30 Bad
Matthew Szczur MLB 24 CF 2137 0.28 Bad
Jonathan Martinez A 20 RHP 329.3 0.28 Average
Jeimer Candelario A+ 20 3B 1694 0.27 Average
Victor Caratini A 20 C 669 0.25 Average
Erick Leal A- 19 RHP 181.4 0.25 Average
Shawon Dunston A 21 LF 838 0.21 Bad
Duane Underwood A 19 RHP 163.7 0.19 Bad
Justin Steele Rk 18 LHP 18.7 0.18 Average
Dillon Maples A 22 RHP 115 0.10 Bad
Benjamin Wells A+ 21 RHP 320.9 0.07 Bad
Alberto Cabrera MLB 25 RHP 784.7 0.07 Bad
Jake Stinnett A- 22 RHP 11 0.07 Bad
Carson Sands Rk 19 LHP 19 0.07 Bad
Paul Blackburn A 20 RHP 183.7 0.05 Bad
Tyler Skulina A+ 22 RHP 123.1 0.03 Bad
Jacob Hannemann A+ 23 CF 619 0.02 Bad
Eloy Jimenez Rk 17 RF 164 -0.02 Terrible
Marco Hernandez A+ 21 SS 1616 -0.04 Terrible
Dustin Geiger AA 22 1B 1703 -0.05 Terrible
Jefferson Mejia Rk 19 RHP 40 -0.05 Terrible
Willson Contreras A+ 22 C 1167 -0.07 Terrible
Trey Masek A- 22 RHP 22.7 -0.12 Terrible
Daury Torrez A 21 RHP 300.7 -0.13 Terrible
Josh Vitters MLB 24 LF 2235 -0.14 Terrible
Scott Frazier A 22 RHP 22 -0.14 Terrible
Yasiel Balaguert A 21 RF 975 -0.17 Terrible
Zach Cates AA 24 RHP 345.6 -0.23 Terrible
Daniel Lockhart AAA 21 2B 917 -0.30 Terrible
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