2015 JAVIER Atlanta Braves 25 and under List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Jason Heyward MLB 24 RF 1010 5.24 Elite
Julio Teheran MLB 23 RHP 514.7 3.69 Good
Alex Wood MLB 23 LHP 123.4 2.80 Good
Tyler Pastornicky MLB 24 SS 2201 2.69 Good
Tommy La Stella MLB 25 2B 1198 2.19 Good
Kyle Kubitza AA 23 3B 1777 1.48 Good
Edward Salcedo AAA 22 RF 2237 1.31 Average
Aaron Northcraft AAA 24 RHP 532.4 1.15 Average
Wes Parsons A+ 21 RHP 223 0.83 Good
Freddie Freeman MLB 24 1B 1759 0.75 Average
Jose Peraza AA 20 2B 1500 0.71 Average
Lucas Sims A+ 20 RHP 307.4 0.64 Good
Cody Martin AAA 24 RHP 433.3 0.60 Average
Williams Perez AA 23 RHP 407.9 0.53 Average
William Beckwith A+ 23 1B 985 0.43 Average
J.R. Graham AA 24 RHP 312.7 0.38 Average
Jason Hursh AA 22 RHP 175.3 0.31 Bad
Joey Terdoslavich MLB 25 1B 2294 0.26 Bad
Cody Scarpetta AA 25 RHP 209 0.24 Bad
Andrelton Simmons MLB 24 SS 1042 0.18 Bad
Frank Lafreniere A 24 RHP 285 0.17 Bad
Steve Janas A 22 RHP 102.4 0.16 Bad
Andry Ubiera A 21 RHP 238.7 0.15 Bad
Gregory Ross AA 24 RHP 490.7 0.15 Bad
Daniel Watts A+ 24 LHP 328.5 0.14 Bad

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Ozhaino Albies Rk 17 SS 239 0.88 Elite
Josh Elander A+ 23 LF 870 0.11 Bad
Garrett Fulenchek Rk 18 RHP 37.7 0.08 Bad
Luis Merejo Rk 19 LHP 57 0.03 Bad
Alec Grosser Rk 19 RHP 93 0.02 Bad
Carlos Perez AA 22 LHP 301 -0.01 Terrible
Gus Schlosser MLB 25 RHP 434.6 -0.04 Terrible
Matt Lipka AA 22 CF 1745 -0.05 Terrible
Mauricio Cabrera A+ 20 RHP 274.3 -0.09 Terrible
Braxton Davidson Rk 18 LF 186 -0.11 Terrible
Carlos Salazar A 19 RHP 77.4 -0.11 Terrible
Kyle Wren AA 23 CF 805 -0.14 Terrible
Robby Hefflinger AA 24 LF 2145 -0.15 Terrible
Todd Cunningham MLB 25 CF 2200 -0.18 Terrible
Wilson Rivera A+ 24 RHP 148.6 -0.18 Terrible
Eric Pfisterer A+ 24 LHP 60.3 -0.19 Terrible
Victor Reyes A 19 RF 776 -0.20 Terrible
Johan Camargo A+ 20 SS 1037 -0.20 Terrible
Bryan De La Rosa A 20 C 350 -0.23 Terrible
John Cornely AA 25 RHP 211 -0.30 Terrible
Ronan Pacheco AA 25 LHP 389.3 -0.37 Terrible
Christian Bethancourt MLB 22 C 2189 -0.40 Terrible
Shae Simmons MLB 23 RHP 101.9 -0.42 Terrible
Chasen Shreve MLB 23 LHP 276.7 -0.55 Terrible
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