2015 JAVIER Arizona Diamondbacks 25 and under List

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. After recently adding pitching to a previously hitting-only system, I thought it would be fun to create a top-25 list of all players age 25 or younger for each team. These lists are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore. I will do my best to find all players currently in the franchise, but I may miss a few here and there.

In order to qualify for this list, pitchers must have at least 100 innings pitched and hitters 500 plate appearances in the minors.

View other teams 25 and under list here.

Top 25

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Patrick Corbin MLB 24 LHP 430.5 3.31 Good
Brett Jackson MLB 25 RF 2446 3.21 Good
Randall Delgado MLB 24 RHP 646.3 3.15 Good
Jacob Lamb MLB 23 3B 1079 2.45 Good
Zach Borenstein AAA 23 LF 1441 2.44 Good
Archie Bradley AAA 21 RHP 373 1.82 Good
Aaron Blair AA 22 RHP 203 1.77 Good
Zeke Spruill MLB 24 RHP 788.8 1.52 Average
Keith Glenn A+ 23 LF 1180 1.48 Elite
Braden Shipley AA 22 RHP 165.7 1.25 Good
Mitch Haniger AA 23 RF 918 1.10 Good
Andrew Chafin MLB 24 LHP 428.3 1.03 Average
Andrew Velazquez A 19 SS 1075 0.71 Good
Alfredo Marte MLB 25 LF 3146 0.65 Bad
Brad Keller A- 18 RHP 133.7 0.51 Good
Chris Owings MLB 22 2B 2129 0.48 Bad
Brandon Jacobs AA 23 LF 2147 0.45 Average
Jose Martinez A 20 RHP 128 0.39 Average
Sean Jamieson AA 25 SS 1802 0.36 Bad
Stryker Trahan A 20 RF 1011 0.35 Average
Ben Eckels A 20 RHP 202.3 0.34 Average
Daniel Palka A 22 1B 817 0.29 Average
Carlos Hernandez Rk 20 RHP 209.3 0.24 Average
Ryan Doran A 23 RHP 173.3 0.24 Average
Jamie Westbrook A 19 2B 817 0.24 Average

Missing prospects

Here are the JAVIER results for some names you might be looking for that did not make it onto the top-25 list. Some might not have enough minor league experience, others just might be prospects that have not produced in the minor leagues.

Name High Level 2014 Age Pos IP PA JAVIER JAVIER Category
Isan Diaz Rk 18 SS 212 0.55 Good
Matt Railey Rk 19 CF 49 0.44 Good
Touki Toussaint Rk 18 RHP 28.7 0.26 Average
Brandon Sinnery A+ 24 RHP 323.7 0.21 Bad
Felipe Perez A- 20 RHP 130.7 0.14 Bad
Anthony Banda A 20 LHP 221.1 0.13 Bad
Nick Ahmed MLB 24 SS 1845 0.13 Bad
Michael Perez A+ 21 C 1038 0.12 Bad
Matt McPhearson Rk 19 LF 345 -0.02 Terrible
Jose Munoz A 20 3B 772 -0.07 Terrible
Jose Herrera Rk 17 C 193 -0.09 Terrible
Anthony Meo AA 24 RHP 201 -0.10 Terrible
Peter O’Brien AA 23 1B 1160 -0.10 Terrible
Enrique Burgos A+ 23 RHP 363.7 -0.10 Terrible
Jimmie Sherfy AA 22 RHP 66.3 -0.11 Terrible
Brandon Drury AA 21 3B 2142 -0.11 Terrible
Sergio Alcantara Rk 17 SS 538 -0.11 Terrible
Socrates Brito A+ 21 RF 1687 -0.14 Terrible
Marcus Wilson Rk 17 CF 148 -0.15 Terrible
J.R. Bradley A+ 22 RHP 406.1 -0.16 Terrible
Chuck Taylor A 20 LF 962 -0.18 Terrible
Justin Williams A 18 RF 544 -0.18 Terrible
Daniel Gibson A+ 22 LHP 87.3 -0.20 Terrible
Gerson Montilla AA 24 2B 2577 -0.26 Terrible
Jake Barrett AAA 22 RHP 132 -0.30 Terrible
Kevin Munson AAA 25 RHP 243.7 -0.44 Terrible
Matt Stites MLB 24 RHP 163.4 -0.50 Terrible
Evan Marshall MLB 24 RHP 154.4 -0.50 Terrible

 

Advertisements


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s