MLB Team Rankings and Updated Standings – Week 21

Weekly rankings based on a 3rd order winning percentage calculation, which has 3 steps:

1: Convert offense and pitching statistics (number of singles, home runs, hits allowed, etc.) into expected runs scored or allowed.

2: Convert that to a winning percentage

3: Adjust for quality of opponents. (I weight the winning percentages so that there are exactly 15*162, or 2,430 calculated wins)

Data from Baseball-Reference.

Rankings

Rank Team 3rd Order W% Change
1 Boston Red Sox 0.617 0
2 New York Yankees 0.617 0
3 Philadelphia Phillies 0.593 0
4 Texas Rangers 0.569 0
5 Atlanta Braves 0.540 0
6 Milwaukee Brewers 0.532 0
7 Tampa Bay Rays 0.528 0
8 San Francisco Giants 0.524 2
9 New York Mets 0.522 2
10 St. Louis Cardinals 0.521 -1
11 Toronto Blue Jays 0.520 2
12 Detroit Tigers 0.517 -4
13 Los Angeles Angels 0.510 -1
14 Arizona Diamondbacks 0.507 0
15 Cleveland Indians 0.506 1
16 Cincinnati Reds 0.505 -1
17 Colorado Rockies 0.500 0
18 Chicago White Sox 0.496 0
19 Oakland Athletics 0.490 1
20 Los Angeles Dodgers 0.487 3
21 Florida Marlins 0.483 -2
22 San Diego Padres 0.475 -1
23 Washington Nationals 0.471 -1
24 Seattle Mariners 0.467 0
25 Kansas City Royals 0.451 0
26 Chicago Cubs 0.444 0
27 Baltimore Orioles 0.415 0
28 Minnesota Twins 0.400 0
29 Pittsburgh Pirates 0.400 0
30 Houston Astros 0.393 0

Follow the jump to see updated divisional standings.

Updated Standings

This is what the standings would look like if the teams actually had the calculated records above.

Div Team W L GB
ALC DET 62 58 0
ALC CLE 59 58 1
ALC CHW 60 60 3
ALC KCR 55 66 8
ALC MIN 48 71 14
Div Team W L GB
ALE BOS 73 46 0
ALE NYY 73 45 0
ALE TBR 63 56 11
ALE TOR 62 58 12
ALE BAL 49 69 24
Div Team W L GB
ALW TEX 69 52 0
ALW LAA 62 59 7
ALW OAK 59 61 10
ALW SEA 56 63 12
Div Team W L GB
NLC MIL 64 57 0
NLC STL 63 58 1
NLC CIN 61 60 3
NLC CHC 54 67 11
NLC PIT 48 71 16
NLC HOU 48 73 17
Div Team W L GB
NLE PHI 71 48 0
NLE ATL 65 56 6
NLE NYM 63 57 8
NLE FLA 58 62 13
NLE WSN 56 63 15
Div Team W L GB
NLW SFG 63 58 0
NLW ARI 61 60 2
NLW COL 61 61 3
NLW LAD 58 61 5
NLW SDP 58 64 6
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