MLB Team Rankings and Updated Standings – Week 20

Weekly rankings based on a 3rd order winning percentage calculation, which has 3 steps:

1: Convert offense and pitching statistics (number of singles, home runs, hits allowed, etc.) into expected runs scored or allowed.

2: Convert that to a winning percentage

3: Adjust for quality of opponents. (I weight the winning percentages so that there are exactly 15*162, or 2,430 calculated wins)

Data from Baseball-Reference.

Rankings

Rank Team 3rd Order W% Change
1 Boston Red Sox 0.622 0
2 New York Yankees 0.618 0
3 Philadelphia Phillies 0.596 0
4 Texas Rangers 0.561 0
5 Atlanta Braves 0.539 0
6 Milwaukee Brewers 0.527 7
7 Tampa Bay Rays 0.525 0
8 Detroit Tigers 0.524 4
9 St. Louis Cardinals 0.524 -1
10 San Francisco Giants 0.521 1
11 New York Mets 0.521 -2
12 Los Angeles Angels 0.520 -6
13 Toronto Blue Jays 0.515 -3
14 Arizona Diamondbacks 0.506 1
15 Cincinnati Reds 0.505 -1
16 Cleveland Indians 0.496 4
17 Colorado Rockies 0.495 -1
18 Chicago White Sox 0.494 0
19 Florida Marlins 0.492 -2
20 Oakland Athletics 0.487 -1
21 San Diego Padres 0.479 2
22 Washington Nationals 0.475 0
23 Los Angeles Dodgers 0.475 -2
24 Seattle Mariners 0.472 0
25 Kansas City Royals 0.453 0
26 Chicago Cubs 0.440 0
27 Baltimore Orioles 0.415 1
28 Minnesota Twins 0.404 1
29 Pittsburgh Pirates 0.401 -2
30 Houston Astros 0.398 0

Follow the jump to see updated divisional standings.

Updated Standings

This is what the standings would look like if the teams actually had the calculated records above.

Div Team W L GB
ALC DET 60 54 0
ALC CLE 56 56 3
ALC CHW 56 57 3
ALC KCR 52 62 8
ALC MIN 46 68 14
Div Team W L GB
ALE BOS 70 43 0
ALE NYY 70 43 0
ALE TBR 59 54 11
ALE TOR 59 55 12
ALE BAL 46 65 23
Div Team W L GB
ALW TEX 64 51 0
ALW LAA 60 55 5
ALW OAK 56 58 8
ALW SEA 53 60 10
Div Team W L GB
NLC MIL 61 54 0
NLC STL 60 55 0
NLC CIN 58 56 3
NLC CHC 51 64 10
NLC PIT 45 68 14
NLC HOU 45 69 15
Div Team W L GB
NLE PHI 68 46 0
NLE ATL 62 53 6
NLE NYM 59 54 9
NLE FLA 56 58 12
NLE WSN 54 60 14
Div Team W L GB
NLW SFG 60 55 0
NLW ARI 58 56 2
NLW COL 57 58 3
NLW SDP 55 60 5
NLW LAD 54 59 5
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