MLB Team Rankings and Updated Standings – Week 18

Weekly rankings based on a 3rd order winning percentage calculation, which has 3 steps:

1: Convert offense and pitching statistics (number of singles, home runs, hits allowed, etc.) into expected runs scored or allowed.

2: Convert that to a winning percentage

3: Adjust for quality of opponents. (I weight the winning percentages so that there are exactly 15*162, or 2,430 calculated wins)

Data from Baseball-Reference.

Rankings

Rank Team 3rd Order W% Change
1 Boston Red Sox 0.632 0
2 New York Yankees 0.608 0
3 Philadelphia Phillies 0.575 0
4 Texas Rangers 0.565 1
5 Atlanta Braves 0.552 -1
6 San Francisco Giants 0.534 2
7 Toronto Blue Jays 0.530 0
8 Los Angeles Angels 0.527 -2
9 Tampa Bay Rays 0.523 0
10 New York Mets 0.522 0
11 St. Louis Cardinals 0.520 0
12 Detroit Tigers 0.519 0
13 Milwaukee Brewers 0.512 0
14 Colorado Rockies 0.503 3
15 Cincinnati Reds 0.502 0
16 Cleveland Indians 0.496 -2
17 Arizona Diamondbacks 0.495 -1
18 Chicago White Sox 0.492 0
19 Florida Marlins 0.485 0
20 Washington Nationals 0.484 0
21 Oakland Athletics 0.474 0
22 San Diego Padres 0.473 2
23 Seattle Mariners 0.472 0
24 Los Angeles Dodgers 0.471 -2
25 Kansas City Royals 0.439 1
26 Chicago Cubs 0.435 1
27 Pittsburgh Pirates 0.431 -2
28 Baltimore Orioles 0.421 0
29 Minnesota Twins 0.410 0
30 Houston Astros 0.402 0

Follow the jump to see updated divisional standings.

Updated Standings

This is what the standings would look like if the teams actually had the calculated records above.

Div Team W L GB
ALC DET 52 48 0
ALC CLE 49 49 2
ALC CHW 49 50 3
ALC KCR 44 56 8
ALC MIN 41 59 11
Div Team W L GB
ALE BOS 62 36 0
ALE NYY 60 38 2
ALE TOR 54 47 10
ALE TBR 52 47 11
ALE BAL 41 56 21
Div Team W L GB
ALW TEX 57 44 0
ALW LAA 53 48 4
ALW OAK 47 53 9
ALW SEA 47 53 9
Div Team W L GB
NLC STL 52 48 0
NLC MIL 52 50 1
NLC CIN 50 50 2
NLC CHC 44 57 9
NLC PIT 42 56 9
NLC HOU 40 60 12
Div Team W L GB
NLE PHI 57 42 0
NLE ATL 56 45 2
NLE NYM 52 48 5
NLE FLA 49 52 9
NLE WSN 48 52 9
Div Team W L GB
NLW SFG 54 47 0
NLW COL 50 50 3
NLW ARI 49 51 4
NLW SDP 48 53 6
NLW LAD 47 53 6
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