2015 JAVIER Top 250 prospects under 25 that just missed

A pursuit of mine has been to find how well minor league statistics translate to the major leagues. During this pursuit I created a comparison system called JAVIER that finds how well other players with similar minor league statistics have done in their careers. These numbers are based only on minor league statistics and nothing else. I am by no means a stats-only person and will not form a decision about a player until reading a scouting report (Baseball Prospectus has a trove of scouting information). However, I can’t add anything to the scouting community, so I do whatever I can and analyze the numbers instead. You can read all about the inner workings of JAVIER and download the data for yourself at Beyond the Boxscore.

Below are two lists of interesting names that didn’t quite make the top 250.

View the team 25 and under lists here.

Players not eligible

These players do not have enough playing time to make the top 250, but if they did, their score is high enough to be in it.

Name High Level 2014 Age Franchise Pos IP PA zBB zK zISO Speed Height Throws GS% Comps JAVIER JAVIER Category
Yasiel Puig MLB 23 Dodgers RF 262 0.29 -0.16 1.77 80 75 107 8.10 Elite
Anthony Rendon MLB 24 Nationals 3B 326 1.65 -0.05 1.26 60 73 284 4.38 Elite
Stephen Strasburg MLB 25 Nationals RHP 20.3 -0.6 1.64 76 R 100% 245 3.14 Good
Bobby Bradley Rk 18 Indians 1B 176 0.15 -0.52 3.72 61 73 103 1.93 Elite
Carlos Vidal FRk 18 Yankees CF 278 1.02 -1.12 0.9 65 71 121 1.72 Elite
Auston Bousfield A- 20 Padres CF 194 0.92 -0.4 1.46 77 71 117 1.69 Elite
Jermaine Palacios FRk 17 Twins 3B 225 1.3 -0.54 0.88 71 72 140 1.50 Elite
Forrest Wall Rk 18 Rockies 2B 188 1.57 -0.74 0.71 85 72 124 1.50 Elite
Luis Alexander Basabe Rk 17 Red Sox CF 307 1.19 -0.32 1.13 75 72 149 1.48 Elite
Leonardo Heras AA 24 Astros LF 423 1.54 -0.53 0.02 76 69 235 1.46 Good
Victor Fernandez FRk 19 Pirates CF 187 0.22 -0.43 1.15 68 71 150 1.46 Elite
Mason Davis A 21 Marlins 2B 279 0.46 -0.74 0.54 64 69 137 1.45 Elite
Kevin Krause A- 21 Pirates C 160 0.48 -0.33 2.1 70 74 156 1.42 Elite

Elite but not in the top 250

These players have elite numbers in the lower minors but have not advanced far enough yet.

Name High Level 2014 Age Franchise Pos IP PA zBB zK zISO Speed Height Throws GS% Comps JAVIER JAVIER Category
Julio Urias A+ 17 Dodgers LHP 142 -0.7 3.58 71 L 88% 109 1.36 Elite
Telmito Agustin FRk 17 Nationals LF 275 1.11 -0.45 2.13 83 70 248 1.35 Elite
Vicente Sanchez FRk 17 Astros CF 151 0.99 -0.67 1.8 64 71 173 1.35 Elite
Bradley Zimmer A 21 Indians CF 210 0.42 -0.6 0.78 67 76 168 1.33 Elite
Dwight Smith A+ 21 Blue Jays LF 1256 0.7 -0.73 0.52 63 71 122 1.33 Elite
Anthony Pereira FRk 17 Tigers SS 268 0.62 -0.28 1.18 76 72 181 1.30 Elite
Jesmuel Valentin A+ 20 Phillies 2B 1123 0.76 -0.88 0.19 66 69 148 1.29 Elite
Wendell Rijo A 18 Red Sox 2B 690 1.49 -0.35 0.9 62 71 184 1.25 Elite
Carlos Asuaje A+ 22 Red Sox 3B 763 0.71 -0.58 1.12 56 69 230 1.24 Elite
Lucas Giolito A 19 Nationals RHP 136.7 -0.61 1.71 78 R 100% 185 1.24 Elite
Carlos Correa A+ 19 Astros SS 1016 1.12 -0.32 0.96 59 76 238 1.23 Elite
Hunter Harvey A 19 Orioles RHP 113 -0.37 2.29 75 R 100% 172 1.22 Elite
Tyler Glasnow A+ 20 Pirates RHP 273.9 0.39 3.21 79 R 98% 105 1.20 Elite
Spencer Adams Rk 18 White Sox RHP 41.7 -2.08 2.95 75 R 90% 158 1.20 Elite
Kevin Padlo Rk 17 Rockies 3B 198 2.12 -0.63 2.51 55 74 147 1.17 Elite
Tito Polo Rk 19 Pirates RF 352 0.17 -0.07 1.03 70 71 177 1.15 Elite
Roberto Caro FRk 20 Cubs CF 542 0.69 -0.48 0.79 83 72 111 1.15 Elite
Willy Adames A 18 Rays SS 514 1.09 0.02 1.17 58 73 318 1.15 Elite
Eliezer Alvarez Rk 19 Cardinals 2B 358 0.37 -0.27 0.68 71 71 155 1.14 Elite
Kelvin Beltre FRk 17 Giants SS 93 2.37 -1.02 1.49 59 71 109 1.13 Elite
Gleyber Torres A- 17 Cubs SS 215 1.48 -0.96 0.45 67 73 159 1.12 Elite
Tyler Palmer Rk 21 Yankees SS 179 0.32 0.09 0.7 84 72 122 1.05 Elite
Jason Martin A- 18 Astros CF 496 1.27 -0.67 0.41 71 70 156 1.05 Elite
Zachary Shepherd Rk 18 Tigers 3B 201 0.69 -0.07 1.83 66 75 199 1.05 Elite
Franklin Barreto A- 18 Blue Jays SS 580 0.01 -0.09 1.64 75 69 160 1.03 Elite
Erick Mejia Rk 19 Mariners SS 228 0.44 -0.58 0.51 77 71 148 0.99 Elite
Cristhofer Martinez Rk 21 Padres 3B 515 0.51 -0.08 0.79 70 73 197 0.99 Elite
Raul Siri FRk 19 Pirates 2B 294 0.59 -0.85 1.76 58 69 130 0.99 Elite
Joan Mauricio Rk 17 Astros SS 270 1.29 0.21 1.09 65 71 345 0.96 Elite
Jose Figueroa Rk 21 Yankees CF 693 -0.2 0.7 66 70 162 0.94 Elite
Thomas Alvarez Rk 19 Nationals 2B 197 1.53 -0.01 0.86 69 73 274 0.93 Elite
Jack Flaherty Rk 18 Cardinals RHP 22.7 -1 2.22 76 R 75% 187 0.90 Elite
Ozhaino Albies Rk 17 Braves SS 239 1.11 -1.46 0.07 69 69 173 0.88 Elite
Jose Siri Rk 18 Reds CF 172 -0.37 -0.53 0.55 79 74 125 0.87 Elite
Luis Madero FRk 17 Diamondbacks RHP 66.7 -1 1.87 75 R 100% 287 0.87 Elite
Yu-Cheng Chang Rk 18 Indians SS 181 0.36 -1.2 2.38 63 73 109 0.85 Elite
Luiz Gohara A- 17 Mariners LHP 71.7 -0.12 2.27 75 L 100% 104 0.81 Elite
Ranger Suarez FRk 18 Phillies LHP 85.7 -2.47 1.5 72 L 82% 101 0.80 Elite
Cody Bellinger Rk 18 Dodgers 1B 428 0.79 -0.01 0.7 67 76 294 0.78 Elite
Thairo Estrada A- 18 Yankees SS 289 -0.05 -0.54 0.71 67 70 168 0.78 Elite
Rafael Devers Rk 17 Red Sox 3B 302 0.68 -0.72 1.66 51 72 233 0.77 Elite

Re-naming and alphabetizing MLB teams by division – National League

Something I have noticed, and maybe you have too, is that every MLB division has a few team names that are very close in the alphabet to each other. In fact, each division has at least two names in a row when all the teams in the majors are alphabetized, ever since the Devil Rays became the Rays. Now thanks to the Astros’ move to the AL West, all have at least three names in a row, with the exception of the AL East. This creates an interesting phenomenon: by changing ten of the team names in MLB, an alphabetized list of all teams will also be sorted by division. I intend on changing those ten names in order to create such a list.

Previously, I completed the alphabetization of the American League. Now I will do so for the National League.

NL East

Atlanta Braves

In 2017, the Braves will be moving to Cobb County. Like the Indians, there has been some controversy surrounding the team’s connection to Native Americans. No longer! The Braves name doesn’t match up with the Ms and Ns of the NL West, so they will have to change. It should be no big deal, since the team has had six names and three cities in its 140-year history.

A name change to the Atlanta No-Fun-In-Baseballs would be relevant and alphabetically acceptable, but perhaps there are better names from which to choose. Cobb County has many high points, so how about the Mountaineers? Fans could still do The Chop, it would just signify a climber sticking an ice axe into a slope.

Mountaineers Banner

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Re-naming and alphabetizing MLB teams by division – American League

Something I have noticed, and maybe you have too, is that every MLB division has a few team names that are very close in the alphabet to each other. In fact, each division has at least two names in a row when all the teams in the majors are alphabetized, ever since the Devil Rays became the Rays. Now thanks to the Astros’ move to the AL West, all have at least three names in a row, with the exception of the AL East. This creates an interesting phenomenon: by changing ten of the team names in MLB, an alphabetized list of all teams will also be sorted by division. I intend on changing those ten names in order to create such a list.

AL East

Toronto Blue Jays

Baseball has some fascination with colorful birds; the Blue Jays, Orioles, and Cardinals are all named after them. As much as I like colorful birds, the Blue Jays are going to have to switch to something closer to the middle of the alphabet. Depending on other name changes in the NL East, they will have to fit in the N to R range. Other Toronto sports names include the Argonauts, Maple Leafs, and Raptors. Apparently, Toronto likes all of its professional teams to have a main color of blue, which adds more complexity to this re-brand.

One idea is to play on the Canadian aspect and call them the Provincialists, or Provs for short, similar to the Metropolitans of New York. Another regional choice is the Toronto Ontarios, but that’s as ridiculous as calling a team from Houston the Texans (or from Montreal the Canadiens)!

I had some difficulty coming up with a great name, so I asked someone from Toronto! Blake Murphy came up with the idea of Pterodactyls, simply to match the dinosaur theme of the Toronto Raptors. And I love it. First team down, the Toronto Pterodactyls.

Image

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Animated GIF Bracket

Jon Bois has been running an animated GIF tournament over at SBNation to “determine the greatest animated sports GIF of all time.” The process looks eerily similar to another tournament currently happening, but I have been unable to find a bracket that keeps track of the progress. So, as I so often do, I did the work myself. I looked at a few bracket websites, but didn’t like what I saw. Instead, I created a Google doc spreadsheet with each region getting its own sheet. It’s not pretty, but it does the job.

You can view the GIF Bracket here.


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