JAVIER: 2014 Midseason Top 50 Prospects

Over the past few weeks on Twitter, I have been teasing a prospect evaluation system called JAVIER. Most everything is ready to go for the release at Beyond the Box Score, we are just waiting to do it during the All-Star break. However, since Baseball Prospectus and Baseball America both released their Top 50s, I thought I would tease this a little more in the form of a google document. Below is said document, giving JAVIER’s output of the 33 hitters who are placed on at least one of the aforementioned midseason top 50s. Much of this is without the context that the BtBS posts will provide on the system, but it is rather self-explanatory. The numbers are not league or age-adjusted, so take some of that with a grain of salt. However, Anderson, Nimmo, Frazier, and Mondesi all rank poorly so far into their minor league career. Nimmo is the odd one in that group, as his minor league numbers actually look fairly good. But of the 49 similar players, only one even made the major leagues – Delino DeShields.

I’ve also included age and league-adjusted values for the 2014 statistics for the above four prospects guessed as busts. I had to set Mondesi’s age range from 17 to 21, since not many prospects play High-A at age 18. There are four similar seasons to him with the age range set at 18-19 and the best MLB career from those was Ben Davis’s.


Home Run Damage Report, 2014 Week 14

For an introduction to Home Run Damage read this page.

This report covers games from Sunday, June 29th through Saturday, July 5th.

Most Damaging: Jose Bautista, 4.04 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Logan Forsythe, 0.01 HRD and Jose Abreu, 0.01 HRD

Least Damaging: Steve Pearce, -4.83 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: Adrian Beltre, 114.2 mph, 3.51 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: Billy Hamilton, 92.7 mph, -4.78 HRD

Most Towering: Jhonny Peralta, 149 feet, -2.14 HRD

Most Line Drive: Adrian Beltre, 52 feet,  3.51 HRD

Closest to straight center: Josh Donaldson, 89.8 degree exit angle, 1.92 HRD

Data from ESPN Home Run Tracker


Home Run Damage Report, 2014 Week 13

For an introduction to Home Run Damage read this page.

This report covers games from Sunday, June 22nd through Saturday, June 28th.

Most Damaging: Mike Trout, 5.56 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Dioner Navarro, 0.05 HRD

Least Damaging: B.J. Upton, -4.29 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: George Springer, 113.5 mph, 5.07 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: B.J. Upton, 92.8 mph, -4.29 HRD

Most Towering: Carlos Pena, 142 feet, -1.96 HRD

Most Line Drive: Adam Jones, 48 feet,  1.87 HRD

Closest to straight center: Mark Teixeira, 90.2 degree exit angle, 0.19 HRD

Data from ESPN Home Run Tracker


Home Run Damage Report, 2014 Week 12

For an introduction to Home Run Damage read this page.

This report covers games from Sunday, June 16th through Saturday, June 21st.

Most Damaging: George Springer, 4.49 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Jonathan Lucroy, 0.01 HRD

Least Damaging: Chris Davis, -5.29 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: George Springer, 115.2 mph, 4.49 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: Mike Trout, 91.8 mph, -5.12 HRD

Most Towering: Steven Pearce, 145 feet, -1.18 HRD

Most Line Drive: Giancarlo Stanton, 48 feet,  0.50 HRD

Closest to straight center: Howie Kendrick, 89.8 degree exit angle, -0.69 HRD

Data from ESPN Home Run Tracker


Home Run Damage Report, 2014 Week 11

For an introduction to Home Run Damage read this page.

This report covers games from Sunday, June 8th through Sunday, June 15th.

Most Damaging: Hanley Ramirez, 5.86 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Juan Francisco, -0.01 HRD and Mike Moustakas, 0.01 HRD

Least Damaging: Andrew McCutchen, -4.29 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: Hanley Ramirez, 117.6 mph, 5.86 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: Luis Valbuena, 93.8 mph, -3.77 HRD

Most Towering: Michael Choice, 144 feet, -2.78 HRD

Most Line Drive: Todd Frazier, 46 feet,  2.06 HRD

Closest to straight center: Ike Davis, 88.5 degree exit angle, 0.45 HRD

Data from ESPN Home Run Tracker


Home Run Damage Report, 2014 Week 10

For an introduction to Home Run Damage read this page.

This report covers games from Sunday, June 1st through Saturday, June 7th.

Most Damaging: Eric Hosmer, 3.92 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): John Mayberry, Jr., -0.01 HRD and John Buck, 0.01 HRD

Least Damaging: Jose Abreu, -4.72 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: Edwin Encarnacion, 115.5 mph, 2.85 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: Yoenis Cespedes, 92.6 mph, -4.64 HRD

Most Towering: Paul Goldschmidt, 153 feet, -3.28 HRD

Most Line Drive: Edwin Encarnacion, 49 feet,  2.85 HRD

Closest to straight center: Cole Gillespie, 90.1 degree exit angle, 1.93 HRD

Data from ESPN Home Run Tracker


Home Run Damage Report, 2014 Weeks 6 through 9

For an introduction to Home Run Damage read this page.

This report covers games from Monday, May 5th through Saturday, May 31st.

Week 6: 5/5/14 through 5/10/14

Most Damaging: C.J. Cron, 5.80 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Justin Smoak, 0.01 HRD

Least Damaging: Mike Zunino, -4.29 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: C.J. Cron, 116.9 mph, 5.80 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: Mike Zunino, 93.8 mph, -4.29 HRD

Most Towering: Colby Rasmus, 135 feet, -1.26 HRD

Most Line Drive: Juan Francisco, 48 feet, 0.06 HRD

Closest to straight center: Joey Votto, 90.1 degree exit angle, 1.77 HRD

Week 7: 5/11/14 through 5/17/14

Most Damaging: Adam Dunn, 4.19 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Martin Maldonado, 0.04 HRD

Least Damaging: Miguel Cabrera, -4.45 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: Jose Abreu, 115.2 mph, 3.94 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: Miguel Cabrera, 93.4 mph, -4.45 HRD

Most Towering: Carl Crawford, 154 feet, -1.05 HRD

Most Line Drive: Brian McCann, 45 feet,  -0.90 HRD

Closest to straight center: Scott Van Slyke, 91.6 degree exit angle, 2.96 HRD

Week 8: 5/18/14 through 5/24/14

Most Damaging: Hunter Pence, 5.30 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Albert Pujols, 0.00 HRD

Least Damaging: Willie Bloomquist, -4.04 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: Hunter Pence, 116.9 mph, 5.30 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: A.J. Pierzynski, 93.8 mph, -3.86 HRD

Most Towering: Lonnie Chisenhall, 152 feet, -1.81 HRD

Most Line Drive: Mitch Moreland, 49 feet,  0.64 HRD

Closest to straight center: Adam Dunn, 90.9 degree exit angle, 1.57 HRD

Week 9: 5/25/14 through 5/31/14

Most Damaging: Paul Goldschmidt, 4.23 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Josh Harrison, -0.01 HRD

Least Damaging: D.J. LeMahieu, -3.70 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: Lucas Duda, 113.3 mph, 3.75 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: Wilin Rosario, 94.2 mph, -3.69 HRD

Most Towering: Chris Carter, 151 feet, -1.99 HRD

Most Line Drive: Josh Donaldson, 43 feet,  -0.11 HRD

Closest to straight center: Torii Hunter, 89.8 degree exit angle, 0.78 HRD and Giancarlo Stanton, 90.2 degree exit angle, 2.71 HRD

Data from ESPN Home Run Tracker


Home Run Damage Report, 2014 Week 5

For an introduction to Home Run Damage read this page.

This report covers games from Sunday, April 27th through Sunday, May 4th.

Most Damaging: Giancarlo Stanton, 4.82 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Jarrod Saltalamacchia, 0.00 HRD and Starlin Castro, 0.00 HRD

Least Damaging: Wil Myers, -4.87 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: Giancarlo Stanton, 119.9 mph, 4.82 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: Wil Myers, 92.5 mph, -4.87 HRD

Most Towering: Jose Abreu, 160 feet, -2.32 HRD

Most Line Drive: David Dejesus, 47 feet,  0.06 HRD

Closest to straight center: Shin-Soo Choo, 90.5 degree exit angle, 0.38 HRD

Data from ESPN Home Run Tracker


Home Run Damage Report, 2014 Week 4

For an introduction to Home Run Damage read this page.

This report covers games from Saturday, April 20th through Saturday, April 26th.

Most Damaging: David Ortiz, 6.78 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Scooter Gennett, -0.01 HRD

Least Damaging: Mark Teixeira, -4.81 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: David Ortiz, 119.9 mph, 6.78 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: Mark Teixeria, 93.7 mph, -4.81 HRD

Most Towering: Brandon Moss, 145 feet, -1.50 HRD

Most Line Drive: Charlie Blackmon, 52 feet, 1.25 HRD

Closest to straight center: Chris Davis, 89.7 degree exit angle, 4.54 HRD

Data from ESPN Home Run Tracker


Home Run Damage Report, 2014 Weeks 2 and 3

For an introduction to Home Run Damage read this page.

This report covers games from Saturday, April 6th through Saturday, April 19th.

Most Damaging: Justin Upton, 5.58 HRD

Most Average Home Run (HRD closest to 0.00): Dan Uggla, 0.00 HRD

Least Damaging: Jose Abreu, -5.60 HRD

Fastest off the Bat: Russell Martin, 117.7 mph, 3.43 HRD

Slowest off the Bat: Marc Krauss, 93.0 mph, -4.19 HRD

Most Towering: Matt Dominguez, 157 feet, 2.05 HRD

Most Line Drive: Russell Martin, 44 feet, 3.43 HRD

Closest to straight center: Corey Hart, 90.0 degree exit angle, 2.17 HRD and Carlos Gomez, 90.0 degree exit angle, 2.45 HRD

Data from ESPN Home Run Tracker


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