MLB Team Rankings and Updated Standings – Week 25

Weekly rankings based on a 3rd order winning percentage calculation, which has 3 steps:

1: Convert offense and pitching statistics (number of singles, home runs, hits allowed, etc.) into expected runs scored or allowed.

2: Convert that to a winning percentage

3: Adjust for quality of opponents. (I weight the winning percentages so that there are exactly 15*162, or 2,430 calculated wins)

Data from Baseball-Reference.

Rankings

Rank Team 3rd Order W% Change
1 Boston Red Sox 0.614 0
2 Philadelphia Phillies 0.604 1
3 New York Yankees 0.593 -1
4 Texas Rangers 0.580 0
5 Tampa Bay Rays 0.545 1
6 Milwaukee Brewers 0.537 -1
7 Atlanta Braves 0.537 0
8 Detroit Tigers 0.527 0
9 Los Angeles Angels 0.518 0
10 St. Louis Cardinals 0.516 2
11 New York Mets 0.513 0
12 Arizona Diamondbacks 0.512 1
13 San Francisco Giants 0.507 1
14 Los Angeles Dodgers 0.505 1
15 Florida Marlins 0.503 2
16 Toronto Blue Jays 0.503 -6
17 Colorado Rockies 0.496 2
18 Cincinnati Reds 0.495 -2
19 Chicago White Sox 0.492 -1
20 Cleveland Indians 0.486 0
21 Washington Nationals 0.484 1
22 Oakland Athletics 0.481 -1
23 San Diego Padres 0.472 0
24 Kansas City Royals 0.464 0
25 Seattle Mariners 0.463 0
26 Chicago Cubs 0.455 0
27 Baltimore Orioles 0.419 0
28 Houston Astros 0.403 0
29 Pittsburgh Pirates 0.397 0
30 Minnesota Twins 0.381 0

Follow the jump to see updated divisional standings.

Updated Standings

This is what the standings would look like if the teams actually had the calculated records above.

Div Team W L GB
ALC DET 77 69 0
ALC CHW 71 74 5
ALC CLE 70 74 6
ALC KCR 69 79 9
ALC MIN 56 90 21
Div Team W L GB
ALE BOS 90 56 0
ALE NYY 86 59 3
ALE TBR 79 66 10
ALE TOR 74 73 16
ALE BAL 61 84 28
Div Team W L GB
ALW TEX 85 62 0
ALW LAA 76 70 9
ALW OAK 70 76 14
ALW SEA 68 78 17
Div Team W L GB
NLC MIL 80 68 0
NLC STL 75 71 3
NLC CIN 72 74 6
NLC CHC 66 80 12
NLC HOU 59 87 20
NLC PIT 58 88 21
Div Team W L GB
NLE PHI 86 57 0
NLE ATL 79 68 9
NLE NYM 75 71 13
NLE FLA 73 72 14
NLE WSN 70 74 17
Div Team W L GB
NLW ARI 75 72 0
NLW SFG 74 72 1
NLW LAD 73 72 1
NLW COL 72 74 2
NLW SDP 69 78 6
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One Comment on “MLB Team Rankings and Updated Standings – Week 25”

  1. hhohw says:

    Wouldn’t you want to adjust for the actual number of innings batted and innings pitched each team has? E.g., really good teams will bat fewer innings and pitch more innings than really bad teams will. This will cause the 3rd-order RS-RA value — and thus the 3rd-order win pct. — to be too low for very good teams, and too high for bad teams.


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