Taking a Look at Midseason Prospect Rankings

I did something similar to this with Preseason Prospect Rankings. This time around, I only have Keith Law (Insider), Baseball America, Kevin Goldstein (Baseball Prospectus Subscriber) and Bullpen Banter. However, there is some difficulty in comparing the lists, as they all have different criteria, so I won’t make graphs or do the Likes/Dislikes as I did previously. Also, Bullpen Banter is the only full Top 100 list. Each of the other three lists 50. Since BB’s is the only list that contains 2011 draftees, I deleted those 18 players and re-ranked the rest of the 82 eligible players, keeping only the top 50.

List Criteria:

Keith Law (KL, ESPN): This list doesn’t include players who’ve graduated to the majors, who have exhausted or are on pace to exhaust their rookie eligibility for 2012, and there are no 2011 draftees on this list because the draftees who might be good enough to make the list haven’t signed yet.

Baseball America (BA): Prospects have to have not used up their rookie eligibility or currently be in the big leagues to be eligible. Also, 2011 draftees are not yet eligible.

Kevin Goldstein (BP): The latest top 50 is restricted to players still in the minors.

Bullpen Banter (BB): If a player has thrown a MLB pitch or had a MLB plate apperance they are disqualified. All players from the 2011 Draft –┬ásigned or unsigned – were available to be selected regardless of signing speculation.

Consensus Top 25:

Definition: Each time a player appears in a list, he gets a score of 51 minus his rank. These are added for each list and the players are ranked by total points.

Rank Player POS Team
1 Bryce Harper of Nationals
2 Matt Moore lhp Rays
3 Shelby Miller rhp Cardinals
4 Manny Machado ss Orioles
5 Brett Lawrie 3b Blue Jays
5 Jameson Taillon rhp Pirates
7 Martin Perez lhp Rangers
7 Devin Mesoraco c Reds
9 Jurickson Profar ss Rangers
10 Jesus Montero c Yankees
11 Jacob Turner rhp Tigers
12 Carlos Martinez rhp Cardinals
13 Manny Banuelos lhp Yankees
14 Julio Teheran rhp Braves
15 Hak-Ju Lee ss Rays
16 Arodys Vizcaino rhp Braves
17 Drew Pomeranz lhp Indians
18 Travis D’Arnaud c Blue Jays
19 Desmond Jennings of Rays
20 Taijuan Walker rhp Mariners
21 Matt Harvey rhp Mets
22 Tyler Skaggs lhp Diamondbacks
23 Wil Myers of Royals
24 Aaron Hicks of Twins
25 Jason Kipnis 2b Indians

Players in Top 50 of all Lists:

Definition: Only players who appear in every one of the KL, BA, BP and BB lists.

Rank Player POS Team
1 Bryce Harper of Nationals
2 Matt Moore lhp Rays
3 Shelby Miller rhp Cardinals
4 Manny Machado ss Orioles
5 Brett Lawrie 3b Blue Jays
5 Jameson Taillon rhp Pirates
7 Martin Perez lhp Rangers
7 Devin Mesoraco c Reds
9 Jurickson Profar ss Rangers
10 Jesus Montero c Yankees
11 Jacob Turner rhp Tigers
12 Carlos Martinez rhp Cardinals
13 Manny Banuelos lhp Yankees
15 Hak-Ju Lee ss Rays
16 Arodys Vizcaino rhp Braves
17 Drew Pomeranz lhp Indians
18 Travis D’Arnaud c Blue Jays
20 Taijuan Walker rhp Mariners
21 Matt Harvey rhp Mets
22 Tyler Skaggs lhp Diamondbacks
23 Wil Myers of Royals
25 Jason Kipnis 2b Indians
26 Mike Montgomery lhp Royals
27 Jarred Cosart rhp Phillies
28 Jake Odorizzi rhp Royals
29 Zack Wheeler rhp Giants
31 Dellin Betances rhp Yankees
36 Zach Lee rhp Dodgers

New Appearances:

Definition: Players who were not in any single preseason list but that appear at in at least one midseason list.

Rank Player POS Team
20 Taijuan Walker rhp Mariners
35 Leonys Martin of Rangers
53 Allen Webster rhp Dodgers
43 Brad Peacock rhp Nationals
47 Cheslor Cuthbert 3b Royals
52 Gary Brown of Giants
54 Will Middlebrooks 3b Red Sox
59 Jonathan Schoop 3b Orioles
65 Jose Altuve 2b Astros
67 Jedd Gyorko 3b Padres
60 Bryce Brentz of Red Sox
62 Henderson Alvarez rhp Blue Jays
70 Jake Marisnick of Blue Jays
72 Drew Hutchison rhp Blue Jays
72 Matt Szczur of Cubs
74 Paul Goldschmidt 1b Diamondbacks

Missing Faces:

Definition: Players who were ranked in the preseason consensus Top 50 but that don’t appear in the top 50 of any midseason list. A majority of these will be players who have simply lost their eligibility for these lists.

Player Team Pre rank
Domonic Brown PHI 4
Jeremy Hellickson TB 5
Eric Hosmer KC 7
Aroldis Chapman CIN 8
Dustin Ackley SEA 10
Mike Moustakas KC 11
Zach Britton BAL 16
Michael Pineda SEA 18
Kyle Drabek TOR 20
Freddie Freeman ATL 21
John Lamb KC 28
Lonnie Chisenhall CLE 29
Mike Minor ATL 30
Chris Sale CHW 31
Tyler Matzek COL 33
Jose Iglesias BOS 37
Jordan Lyles HOU 39
Chris Archer TB 43

Risers:

Players who have moved the highest up the rankings from the preseason consensus list.

Rank Player POS Team Difference
42 Robbie Erlin lhp Rangers 118
70 Tyrell Jenkins rhp Cardinals 96
63 Anthony Gose cf Blue Jays 96
12 Carlos Martinez rhp Cardinals 94
47 A.J. Cole rhp Nationals 78
56 Kaleb Cowart 3b Angels 75
15 Hak-Ju Lee ss Rays 70
21 Matt Harvey rhp Mets 68
22 Tyler Skaggs lhp Diamondbacks 61
16 Arodys Vizcaino rhp Braves 60

Fallers:

Players who have fallen the farthest from the preseason consensus list, but who still appear on a midseason list. Trout and Belt were not eligible for most lists, so they have fallen only for that reason.

Rank Player POS Team Difference
39 Mike Trout of Angels -38
40 Brandon Belt 1b Giants -23
63 Nick Franklin ss Mariners -19
54 Gary Sanchez c Yankees -18
23 Wil Myers of Royals -14
45 Kyle Gibson rhp Twins -10
57 Derek Norris c Nationals -8
33 Jarrod Parker rhp Diamondbacks -8
14 Julio Teheran rhp Braves -8
47 Randall Delgado rhp Braves -7
10 Jesus Montero c Yankees -7

 

Top 74:

Here is the overall list, ranked in order of total points:

Rank Player POS Team
1 Bryce Harper of Nationals
2 Matt Moore lhp Rays
3 Shelby Miller rhp Cardinals
4 Manny Machado ss Orioles
5 Brett Lawrie 3b Blue Jays
5 Jameson Taillon rhp Pirates
7 Devin Mesoraco c Reds
7 Martin Perez lhp Rangers
9 Jurickson Profar ss Rangers
10 Jesus Montero c Yankees
11 Jacob Turner rhp Tigers
12 Carlos Martinez rhp Cardinals
13 Manny Banuelos lhp Yankees
14 Julio Teheran rhp Braves
15 Hak-Ju Lee ss Rays
16 Arodys Vizcaino rhp Braves
17 Drew Pomeranz lhp Indians
18 Travis D’Arnaud c Blue Jays
19 Desmond Jennings of Rays
20 Taijuan Walker rhp Mariners
21 Matt Harvey rhp Mets
22 Tyler Skaggs lhp Diamondbacks
23 Wil Myers of Royals
24 Aaron Hicks of Twins
25 Jason Kipnis 2b Indians
26 Mike Montgomery lhp Royals
27 Jarred Cosart rhp Phillies
28 Jake Odorizzi rhp Royals
29 Miguel Sano 3b Twins
29 Zack Wheeler rhp Giants
31 Dellin Betances rhp Yankees
31 Casey Kelly rhp Padres
33 Jarrod Parker rhp Diamondbacks
34 Jean Segura 2b Angels
35 Leonys Martin of Rangers
36 Zach Lee rhp Dodgers
37 Yasmani Grandal c Reds
38 Wilin Rosario c Rockies
39 Mike Trout of Angels
40 Jonathan Singleton of/1b Phillies
40 Brandon Belt 1b Giants
42 Robbie Erlin lhp Rangers
43 Brad Peacock rhp Nationals
44 Dee Gordon ss Dodgers
45 Brett Jackson of Cubs
45 Kyle Gibson rhp Twins
47 Cheslor Cuthbert 3b Royals
47 A.J. Cole rhp Nationals
47 Anthony Ranaudo rhp Red Sox
47 Randall Delgado rhp Braves
51 Oswaldo Arcia of Twins
52 Gary Brown of Giants
53 Allen Webster rhp Dodgers
54 Will Middlebrooks 3b Red Sox
54 Gary Sanchez c Yankees
56 Kaleb Cowart 3b Angels
57 Nick Castellanos 3b Tigers
57 Derek Norris c Nationals
59 Jonathan Schoop 3b Orioles
60 Bryce Brentz of Red Sox
60 Nolan Arenado 3b Rockies
62 Henderson Alvarez rhp Blue Jays
63 Anthony Gose cf Blue Jays
63 Nick Franklin ss Mariners
65 Jose Altuve 2b Astros
65 Christian Yelich 1b Marlins
67 Jedd Gyorko 3b Padres
67 Michael Choice of Athletics
69 Luis Heredia rhp Pirates
70 Jake Marisnick of Blue Jays
70 Tyrell Jenkins rhp Cardinals
72 Drew Hutchison rhp Blue Jays
72 Matt Szczur of Cubs
74 Paul Goldschmidt 1b Diamondbacks
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4 Comments on “Taking a Look at Midseason Prospect Rankings”

  1. Anonymous says:

    Teheran couldn’t be on all the lists as he has thrown MLB pitches this year. He wasn’t on the BB list. If he were, he’d be ranked higher than 12th overall as your sheet has him listed.

    • Correct, he was 12th on KL, 4th on BA and 3rd on BP’s list. He would probably slot into the top ten easily. Teheran, Jennings and Hicks were the only three in the top 25 who did not appear in every list.

  2. [...] Taking a Look at Midseason Prospect Rankings (stealofhome.wordpress.com) [...]

  3. Bam Bam Meulens says:

    Thank you for taking the time to gather this information. This is very helpful to those in keeper leagues.


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